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THE BINARY ALTERNATIVE AND THE FUTURE OF CAPITALISM

  • By Mark Reiners
  • 10 Apr, 2018


We are living through a political crisis of the Transfer State: the United States has reached social and political limits beyond which it has become very difficult to squeeze the wage earnings of the working population for the benefit of those who do not earn wages. The signs and symptoms of this crisis are essentially everywhere: in the drive to cut the federal budget, in welfare reform, in the continuing debate over health care, in recurring drives to “reform” and privatize the social security system.

          Professor James K. Galbraith, CREATED UNEQUAL:THE CRISIS IN AMERICAN PAY

         

It sometimes takes decades, even centuries, for foundation-altering ideas to permeate the social hierarchies that prescribe and reward acceptable mainstream thought while ignoring and marginalizing the rest.

Nevertheless, with the collapse of much state communism; with the growing recognition that the surviving capitalist economies are facing worsening problems in achieving a just and efficient distribution; and with increasing calls for new alternatives beyond right, left and center, there is some reason to hope that people are sincerely ready to take a fresh look at economic assumptions. That look will come not a moment too soon.

          Robert Ashford & Rodney Shakespeare, BINARY ECONOMICS: THE NEW PARADIGM

 

ABSTRACT

          A growing chorus of respected scholars, including Lester Thurow, James Galbraith, Edward Luttwak[1] and numerous others, have subjected the uncontrolled, globalized capitalism that has rapidly spread since the end of the Cold War to the harsh light of ruthless scrutiny in recent works. These important critiques are especially cautionary in the expressed concern that the imbalances of wealth distribution, which grow increasingly pervasive, are not subject to the policy consideration warranted by their severe implications.

Unfortunately, the humane and well-intended policy prescriptions invoked in these works range along the existing liberal/conservative spectrum: skills training, return to Keynesianism, return to regulation, etc.. Not only is it nowhere considered that these problems may reflect some flaw or inadequacy of underlying theory, it is explicitly asserted that no choice other than these exists. We argue that this is false on both counts; that there are inadequacies in existing theory, and there is a prescriptive alternative. We argue that the alternative is the too-long-ignored and/or marginalized Binary Theory of economics developed by the late Louis Kelso.

          We provide a brief overview of the necessary definitions to challenge and find unsound a core, if obscure, criticism of Binary Theory: that its distinct, foundational productiveness concepts violate the allegedly necessary symmetry condition of conventional productivity analysis and are therefore theoretically illegitimate. Next, we engage considerations of the Information and Knowledge-Value economy. We do so since another line of critique of Binary economics is founded on the assumption or assertion that these increasingly important factors render irrelevant any work whose primary theoretical and policy prescriptive focus promotes as remedy universalizing capital ownership as does Binary Economics. We argue that these reasons for dismissal are unsound both because they ignore Binary modifications to the definition of capital, and because of unrecognized constraints in the “Information economy”.

Finally, we guide attention toward the more speculative prospect of what may be the ultimate threat and challenge to the limitations of extant, productivity-based, laboristic Capitalism. We introduce the idea of an “infinite productivity horizon”. While these considerations are more long term in nature they may also provide a more expansive perspective from which to consider the possibility that, in the sweep of history, there may well be a thrust of near inevitability to the ultimate recognition and implementation of a Binary Economic system, as the nearly exclusive reliance on a laboristic wealth distribution mechanism becomes increasingly untenable.

 

INTRODUCTION

          Binary Economics asserts that existing Capitalist, Market theory is incomplete in several critical, fundamental respects. Consequently, it further contends that existing Capitalism has remained locked in an economically inefficient and socially unjust system for the distribution of wealth, unnecessarily constrained by a nearly exclusive and anachronistic dependence on labor/jobs for this distribution function. After appropriate modifications of theory, it proposes that this insufficient reliance can be supplanted with a gradual, universal expansion of capital ownership, providing for a remedial, much more efficient, just, self-equilibrating and sustainable social as well as economic system.

While the theory of Binary economics is comprised of a detailed explication of the trio of propositions, 1.) the productiveness and the independent productiveness of capital, as concepts unique and distinct from the traditional economic concept of productivity, 2.) the Binary private property right, and 3.) the concept of Binary growth, our focus on select aspects of these will necessarily be more constrained due to the limits of this format. We will direct the reader to the rich existing Binary literature[2] for the much more thorough foundational background.

 

           

KEY DEFINITIONS:

          For purposes of clarity and conciseness, we can perhaps do no better in providing definitions for both the traditional concept of productivity, as well as the Binary concept of productiveness, than to quote from the wonderfully lucid essay, LOUIS KELSO’S BINARY ECONOMY, by Syracuse Professor, Robert Ashford.[3] 

“Productivity is the ratio of the output of all factors of production, divided by the input of one factor, most usually labor. In contrast, productiveness may be thought of as total work done by each factor. In relative terms, it can be expressed as the percentage of total output attributable to the productive input of each independent factor.” (My emphasis.)

 

          Since the productivity concept is so long standing we will assume pervasive familiarity and move on to provide an illustrating example of productiveness often used in the Binary literature. Again, Professor Ashford provides compelling clarity.

“To explore the concept of productiveness and its relationship to productivity and growth, assume that in a pre-tool age, a person could dig a hole in four hours by hand. After the invention of a shovel, she can dig the same hole in one hour. In traditional economic terms, she has four times the productivity because she can perform four times as much work in the same time period. In binary economic terms, the productiveness has changed from 100% labor before the invention of the shovel, to 25% labor and 75% capital after the employment of the shovel. In terms of producing the hole, the worker contributes only one-fourth as much productive input, so her labor productiveness per hole has been reduced to only one-fourth of its former value. Seventy-five percent of the worker’s former productiveness has been replaced by an equal amount of capital productiveness. Therefore, in this example, although capital may increase human productivity, more significantly, in binary terms, it replaces labor productiveness per unit of output.” (Emphasis in the original.)

 

 

          With this explanation of productiveness as foundation, Binary Theory then goes on to explicate what is already inherently implicit by asserting that capital thus manifests the property of being independently productive, and that this property may obtain to a relative degree with respect to the output of any particular production function. It is the assertion of this productive independence of capital that seems to be the source of such confusion and contention.

 

SYMMETRY

          When Binary critics wish to deal what they seem assured is the knockout blow to any hope that Binary theory may have to a claim of legitimacy for its distinct propositions of productiveness, and the independent productiveness of capital, the big gun rolled out from the productivity arsenal is the Symmetry artillery.

          It may be illuminating to note that invocation of the alleged Symmetry imperative is often made with an implicit confidence that it carries with it something like the axiomatic mantle of logical necessity associated with the closely related mathematical concept of commutativity, familiar from basic number theory (arithmetic). That it does not, in reality, have anything remotely like such fundamental logical necessity is what should ultimately allow us to deflate the use of this argument as grounds for dismissing these core Binary concepts. Strictly speaking, productivity-based symmetry only asserts input factor substitutability and then, only on a very conditional basis. Formal assertion of actual commutativity is not explicit and only emerges as a de facto claim by the apparently more zealous and less attentive adherents to the argument, based on the special case of a 1:1 input-factor substitutability ratio, which is a very special case of the defining scenarios indeed. Once the special nature of this case is illuminated, however, it begs the question of logical necessity since conditions of non-commutativity are so widely pervasive elsewhere throughout the natural sciences and mathematics. In fact, as we shall see, this special case actually reveals a particularly rich irony quite favoring the Binary position.  

          It may also be worth mentioning that both the conventional productivity and Binary productiveness propositions are simply that: propositions or characterizations for defining production input factor relationships to output. As such, excluding demonstration of logical necessity to the contrary, there need be no reason why they must be mutually exclusive of one another as a basis for economic analysis. Indeed, Binary economists make no such exclusionary claim; asserting only a complimentary relationship between distinct sets of propositions, while admittedly arguing for a status more fundamental and more useful for the productiveness propositions. Only the determined Binary critics seem to feel a need to find or construct some basis for justifying an assertion of exclusivity for the productivity/symmetry perspective. Regardless of this bias, however, there is no a priori, epistemological basis to justify regarding productivity arguments, symmetry based or otherwise, as the objective conceptual standard in terms of which to either divinely bestow acceptance or from which to pronounce Oracular judgements of dismissal upon the Binary productiveness concepts.

 

          While the illustrative Binary hole-digging scenario and the attendant inference of a relative, but dominant productive participation role for the shovel (Capital/K) in the output seems intuitively straightforward and perfectly sound empirically, the subsequent use of the term independent with respect to this productive capital participation tends to connote autonomy of action; an autonomy that would seem belied by the functional role of the labor also participating, though, productively speaking, to a lesser degree according to both common sense and Binary theory. Here, the traditional economists interrupt. What about the symmetry imperative? According to productivity, they assert, the output must be invariant to a reversal of order in applying the input factors. Thus, while Binary skeptics are protesting, ‘wait a minute – how can an input factor be productive independently without being functionally autonomous’, and while Binary theorists are responding by pointing out that this fails to take into account the important modifying term relative applied to the productiveness of the respective inputs, the devoted Binary critics among conventional economists insist that autonomy is a non-issue, demanding satisfaction of an imperative that would seem to be a clear commutativity condition with respect to applying the input factors – this alleged law of symmetry. In the Binary case, that would seem to mean expecting the output of holes dug to remain unchanged regardless of whether we start with the shovel and add the laborer or vice versa.  Since the shovel is clearly not going to produce any output by itself, independent productiveness of capital is a fraud, or so the conventional economist/Binary critics assert. Something would clearly seem to be amiss. But is commutativity really what is asserted by the symmetry defined in the productivity context? The short answer is, ‘no’, it is not. Symmetry is the word chosen to denote conditions in a definitionally specific production-flow scenario where input-factor substitutability, not unconditional commutativity, obtains. Given the fact that, as we shall see, the constraints imposed by these definitional scenarios render the property of input-factor substitutability a highly contingent and far from universal one, but one not categorically exclusive of special cases of commutativity, the fuller answer is, ‘not exactly’. The Binary- favorable irony lies in wait amid the remaining unpacking.

          Synopsizing familiar textbook presentations, two limiting cases of substitutability can be identified.  First, suppose that we are discussing a firm with a single production activity to execute. For example, a production activity requiring use of three machines and five people to produce one unit of product, X, per unit of time; six machines and ten people to produce two units of X, etc. If we only have six machines, maximum attainable output will be limited to 2X, regardless of the number of workers available beyond the ten required for this output, given the six machines. According to these rather idealized limiting strictures, additional workers can produce nothing without equipment with which to operate. Similarly, if the labor force is twenty five, output has a fixed maximum output of 5X, even if we have indiscriminately more machines than the fifteen required for this output. Additional capital can’t increase output without additional labor made available in fixed proportion to capital. Thus, symmetry simply does not obtain here, importantly already putting conditions on symmetry that belie anything like the lawfulness associated with generic commutativity.

          Second, let us now suppose that technology is such that a unit of capital used can do exactly the same job as a certain number of workers. Such a case is highly possible if capital takes the form of robots. From the viewpoint of output, we could therefore either use an additional robot (K/capital) or a certain number of additional workers to produce a given increment of production. In this case, K and L are said to be perfectly substitutable; i.e. symmetric. However, though X= f(K, L) = aL+bK, the special case where a=b=1, and inputs can be substituted at a 1:1 ratio, is required for a symmetry in any way resembling a general commutativty condition to obtain. Why is that important?

We will first note that the original denial of the conventional economist, asserting that functional autonomy of the capital instrument is a non-issue, is clearly revealed as incorrect. In fact, that understates the case. Not only is it not a non-issue, the defining scenarios reveal it to effectively be a condition. Also, though symmetry would seem to verbally allow substitution between capital (robot) and laborers (emphasis on the plural), this already special case must be even more special for any assertion that symmetry is generally equivalent to mathematical commutativity to obtain. It must be not merely between the categories of K and L, in principal allowing a certain number of additional workers, it must be 1:1 between actual units; robot/laborer. Not plural. This is a special case of a special case.   Anything that deviates from this is not merely a circumstance where symmetry simply is not applicable, as in the previous case; it is an explicit case of ASYMMETRY. And this is the point. It is precisely giving meaningful characterizations of such far more generically applicable circumstances of asymmetric input factor relationships to output that Binary productiveness provides!  

          To explicitly accentuate the irony of asserting that symmetry arguments are either necessary or sufficient to deny legitimacy to the distinct Binary concept of the relative productiveness of L and K inputs to output, the only scenario where completely homogenous substitutability/symmetry obtains, according to the very productivity-based, production-flow definitional conditions imposed by the conventional argument, and invoked by economists aiming to discredit the binary concepts on these same grounds, is the one condition where productivity effectively reaches infinity in the form of complete capital autonomy - the very property that was originally asserted to be a non-issue - such as in robotic production. The irony could scarcely be more rich. The reason that these critical contingencies so heighten the irony of the alleged symmetry-critique is precisely because productivity is generally a labor-centric indice, for which infinity is meaningless by virtue of connoting absence of a labor factor participation. Conversely, Binary productiveness, being input-factor agnostic, simply recognizes this ‘special’ case as the perfectly legitimate and meaningful instance of capital achieving relative productiveness of 100%. But look more closely. The key distinctions made explicit in the productiveness concept are lost to, or are apparently of no significance to the productivity/symmetry argument. Specifically, beyond the very special case of actual satisfaction of 1:1 substitutability, the question of how much labor would have to be substituted to render the substitution output neutral/equivalent. As soon as these considerations are introduced, so too is the differential of any situation deviating from perfect 1:1 substitutability, which Binary productiveness answers in any symmetric or asymmetric scenario with explicit percentage answers, covering the spectrum from 0 to 100%. This essentially makes the Binary case in favor of the legitimacy and relevance of the productiveness concepts of relative, simultaneous input participation. In other words, generally speaking, substitution is not going to be symmetric; is not going to be on a one-to-one basis; not with respect to either the number of laborers substituted for robots (capital/K), or the amount of time required to achieve output neutrality/equivalence. But there is more.

          We can provide even greater perspective on how convoluted the conventional wisdom becomes. In fact, it may already be clear to the particularly attentive reader that the productivity argument essentially uses the one special production-flow case where “symmetry” actually does obtain in some sense of homogenous substitutability, segregates this from the highly contingent nature of the defining scenarios of the argument, falsely elevates this isolated “symmetry” to the level of generic equivalence with the commutativity condition, and then returns to the Binary examples of productiveness (e.g. the laborer and shovel) and demands that legitimacy of the productiveness definitions can only obtain if we can expect unchanged production outputs, regardless of whether we reverse the application order of the inputs, as if this condition was remotely satisfied, generally, in the full range of possible productivity-defined production-flow scenarios. This is regardless of the fact that such “symmetry” occurs in their own chosen scenario only where the K factor has the complete productive autonomy that is theoretically and distributionally meaningful only in the theory that they are attempting to discredit.

          While illuminating these points does not prove the validity of the Binary productiveness propositions, per se, they certainly help serve to strip the productivity-based, alleged “symmetry imperative” of the authority of any logical necessity in claiming grounds for dismissing them that it may have gained by the undue association with a generic commutativity claim. They should also help make clear what, in fact, has been clear to a growing number of adherents to Binary theory from the beginning – namely that Binary productiveness and traditional productivity indices are simply conceptually distinct. While the ground that they cover overlaps, and they are thus similar, similarity is not identity, but nor is difference a disproof. Symmetry is highly contingent; it provides no basis of general logical necessity for any claim of exclusivity for the productivity that provides its definitional context, or for exclusion of Binary productiveness. In fact, quite the contrary.

          Considering the production possibility frontier more broadly, as we have implicitly done in taking Binary productiveness quite seriously, it is clear that linearity does not always, or even generally, hold. As we’ve seen, it is only where linearity does hold that symmetry is relevant. It should not only also be clear that this special case of a special case is, by definition, far from generic, but therefore, that what applies in the absence of genericity for symmetric conditions is precisely what Binary productiveness more comprehensively defines and provides an indice for – the far more generic condition of asymmetric productive input-factor participation in output. Thus, what the symmetry argument ironically best serves to illuminate is precisely what should have been clear from the beginning: Binary productiveness and conventional productivity are equally legitimate but distinct conceptual entities. Interestingly, however, conceptual entities with a distinctly complimentary relation. Symmetry reveals that their one key point of intersection is precisely the special case where capital productiveness is at its maximum, and capital is thus productively autonomous, allowing for homogenous substitutability with labor, in principle. Rather than falsely elevating this special case of homogenous substitutability to the alleged status of some immutable law, generically equivalent to commutativity, necessary and sufficient as a basis for dismissing Binary productiveness, conventional economists should be recognizing what Binary theorists have long been asserting. Namely, to the extent that conditions of input factor participation in production output are highly asymmetric far more generically than not, Binary productiveness is a vastly more potent analytic tool, illuminating relationships regarding wealth generation to which productivity is essentially blind, and distributional and policy implications which are quite profound. Thus, not only should conventional economists not fail to take Binary theory seriously, they should be enthusiastically embracing it for providing precisely what the Kelsos and other Binary economists have long asserted it provides – a very major missing piece of the puzzle of theoretical Capitalism.

 

SAY’S LAW & AGGREGATE DEMAND

          The considerations above, aside from the relevance of their own clarification, provide a valuable foundation as segue into other critical issues.

          First is an important, but little appreciated, consideration pertaining to the already contentious subject of Say’s Law - the law asserting that supply creates its own demand. However arcane or naïve invocation of Say’s Law may have come to seem, the productiveness concepts provide a new perspective on this relation that is profoundly revelatory. If we finally come to recognize, as Binary economics has long asserted, that capital is independently productive, it is then immediate to also recognize that the self-equilibrating viability of Say’s Law is, 1.) a contingent property, and not a property that it is sufficient merely to assert in theoretical principle and then assume operative as an economic reality, and 2.) that its functional viability will hinge on whether, and to what extent, the ownership of such independently productive capital is constrained or universally distributed.

          From a Binary perspective, to the extent that capital ownership is highly constrained and concentrated, the functional viability of the systemic self-equilibration attendant to Say’s Law is effectively violated and must be artificially propped up with a patchwork of mechanisms that are both less socially just and also less economically efficient. Without being comprehensive, examples include unions, minimum wage laws, immigration factors, and an endlessly burgeoning, increasingly tenuous Transfer State. This perspective also throws fresh light on the closely related aggregate demand considerations at the heart of the Keynesian prescriptions.      

Indeed, from the Binary perspective, the only scenario in which the distributional and aggregate-demand consequences of the extant productivity-based and exclusionary capital-participation regime would be equivalent to a Binary system of universalized capital ownership, is one where ALL of the productiveness increases of capital (technological and other capital rents) were immediately and fully dispersed as either wage increases to retained labor (assuming labor IS retained post capital-productiveness increase, which is often NOT the case per a given production function) or as product price reductions to consumers. The fact that, depending on the general competitive environment, the relative maturity of the business cycle, inflation dynamics, etc, such adjustment effects do incrementally occur over time (contingent the relatively autonomous dynamics of those respective sub-markets) is very far from adequate fulfillment of the stated conditions of “immediately and fully”, and thus of Say’s Law. Further, if there are exclusionary intellectual property factors involved such as patents, etc., we can completely forget the condition of immediacy. Finally, however, even if perfect alignment existed in these areas (which it clearly does not), what ultimately makes any such argument utterly untenable is the critical factor of profits.

At this juncture, defenders of existing dogma will be quick to volunteer as response to this apparent threat to the actual fulfillment of the equilibrating supply/demand imperative of Say’s Law the conventional free-market wisdom that profits, savings and wealth concentration generally have no demand, or general growth inhibition effects since these reserves are simply recycled through the banking system as collateral for further investment, generating jobs, wages, etc. While this recycling is unarguably a fact, and thus true as far as it goes, in the rush to invoke this recycling rationale in the hope of laying to rest a possible critical and glaring inconsistency between doctrine and actual systemic behavior, something crucial is glossed over by the conventional wisdom, and lost in the illusion of a final rebuttal. Specifically, something else gets recycled along with these reserves. In highlighting this, it is key to point out that whether these reserves will be invested both fully and with immediacy is always contingent in a way that also inherently recycles the very distribution and demand imbalances of any savings-based financial and exclusionary capital-participation regime that this very recycling allegedly defuses. Why? Nothing less than the core capitalist incentive: specifically, the imperative that any new investment must offer the prospect of the same productiveness advantages. This is the very wellspring sustaining the proverbial and ever reinforced adage that the rich get richer while the poor get . . . well, poorer, relatively speaking and often absolutely speaking. In this sense, whether new jobs are created, even with higher wages, as well as the fact that they frequently may be, is effectively incidental; if the new investment does not offer the prospect of wealth generating productiveness benefits that are sufficiently greater than any such eventual and incremental increases to labor or losses to price reduction to justify itself, why would any manager/company make them? They would clearly simply be spinning their wheels.

Thus, invoking the logic of this systemic recycling rationale fails to provide the rebuttal hoped for or the resolution needed for the conventional wisdom to pass muster in claiming that the Binary assertion that the systemic self-equilibration property of Say’s Law is a victim in this dynamic is unfounded. It fails to provide the “out” which it claims and asserts by taking the recycling logic only self-servingly half way. The negative wealth distribution and, thus, supply/demand discrepancies remain. However real the gradual and incremental wage increases and/or price reductions that, over time, sputter into the market as currently structured, they can never catch the greater wealth generation racing ahead of them in the form of new investments predicated on these requisite criteria of productiveness superiority. Hence, not only is actual fulfillment of Say’s Law obstructed by introducing turbulence and negative-feedback-inducing demand lags (cosmetically obscured by the previously mentioned patchwork that must be expanded to include the ultimately unsustainable current levels of consumer credit-card and other debt), it also artificially limits expansion by inhibiting the growth inducing positive feedback that would be unleashed by uncoupling investment from the savings/collateral imperative and coupling tens of millions of new capital owners (billions globally) with the direct income of their newly productive capital. In short, the Binary productiveness concepts suggest that we are paying a staggering societal opportunity cost by not fully trusting the logic of the very capitalism that we purport and never miss an opportunity to ideologically champion.

 

KNOWLEDGE VALUE & THE INFORMATION ECONOMY

 

          Another line of critique frequently invoked by Binary critics predisposed to imagine, assume or assert that any theory or policy prescription focused, as is Binary economics, on a universal capital distribution program must be, at best, anachronistic and, at worst, utterly irrelevant in an environment where knowledge and information are of increasing relative competitive importance. The subjects of Knowledge-value and the “information economy”, are important, subtle and complex topics which, to the extent that they devolve onto issues of human creativity, ultimately engage some of the most epistemologically demanding areas of biological science. Hence, anything remotely like a comprehensive treatment must remain beyond the scope of this paper. But by focusing on a few key economic principles and illustrative examples, we will again hope to illuminate that the inclination to dismiss Binary economics on the basis of these considerations is grossly unfounded.

          First to engage is the often only implicit assumption that “capital” can only mean some tangible object: an automobile assembly-line robotic welder, a stamp press, a steel mill, etc. Apparently, because of the fact that most of the examples of productiveness provided in the Binary literature, for purposes of clarity of explication, refer to simple cases of physical production, critics often seem unable to extrapolate the core principle more generally to realize that productiveness is not limited to such cases of manifest tangibility. In reality, Binary economists have been quite explicit that this is not the case. In fact, they have adapted the definition of capital to comprehend much of what is referenced as critical in the Knowledge-Value/Information Economy: “’Capital therefore includes land, animals, machines, structures, tools, and intangibles such as patents, trademarks, trade secrets, and processes. . .”[4](my emphasis). A virtual infinity of examples might be provided of such italicized cases of intangibles forming the basis for wealth-generating independent productiveness[5], but the principle should be sufficiently clear to make this unnecessary. More important distinctions await elucidation.

          More challenging, perhaps, are observations noting that the “Information Economy” allows for the re-synthesis of labor and ‘the means of production’. “The first aspect I want to point to is the likely joining of manpower and the means of production in the creation of knowledge-value. . . . What is important for the production of knowledge-value is not so much facilities or equipment in the material sense, but the knowledge, experience, and sensitivity to be found among those engaged in its creation. This is the true direction toward which the production of knowledge-value points; and this kind of production is inseparably bound up with the manpower that produces it. In a knowledge-value society, the trend toward the separation of capital and labor will be reversed; henceforth they will tend to fuse.”[6]  Similarly, Lester Thurow recently observed, “The transition ahead can be verbally minimized by calling skills, education, and knowledge “human capital.” Doing so makes it sound as if replacing physical capital with human capital is a minor change at most – but it isn’t. While there are similarities, the differences are more important than the similarities when it comes to defining the nature of capitalism when human capital is the dominant factor of production – not just an important adjunct to physical capital.” [7]  First, it may be far more generally the case that ‘human capital’, in the form of knowledge, is instantiated in capital than that it replaces capital, per se. Further, when Professor Thurow expands on the distinctions between human and physical capital by asserting, “Human capital cannot be owned.”[8], he is transparently in error. Human capital, as explicit knowledge, clearly can and is owned pervasively via patents and other forms of intellectual property. Were this not the case, it would not be a long standing procedure in most technically oriented companies to compel technical staff to sign off on surrender of inventions and developments which they may generate for the duration of their employment. Recognition of the importance of intellectual property may be compelling such companies to be increasingly accommodating about sharing such ownership with the developers to retain particularly productive technical staff, but this serves simply to underscore the point that such ownership is both real and taken quite seriously.  

More generally, however, these important observations are closely related to the assertion of a general education/skills imperative in an information economy. This emphasis, however, implicitly extends the pervasive and virtually unchallenged assumption that we must systemically be socially utterly dependent for our wealth distribution mechanism on labor, and seems additionally suspect when data are unambiguous about the declining income of even white males with graduate degrees. As Professor Galbraith importantly emphasizes[9], possibly excepting pockets of certain specialties, there is no general dearth of skilled employees in America. Thus, from a Binary perspective, this distributional exclusivity effectively seems like a curious and foolish kind of economic masochism. But important distinctions remain.

To the extent that this information-economic re-synthesis is real, the labor and product are inseparable, with ownership immediate and exclusive. To the extent that such knowledge-value production is merely application of existing knowledge, of whatever professional flavor, it is no less subject to supply/demand diminution of any premium it may enjoy from its relative placement on that spectrum than is traditional labor subject to positive availability changes in the market and/or absence of imposition of exclusionary limitations on such availability. However, to the extent that knowledge-value production is, instead, about the creation of novelty rents of either a technological nature (and it is important to clarify that technological rents have two components: novelty and productiveness – the novelty premium is obviously first-mover relative and may erode as competition emerges, while a productiveness increase will be of persisting competitive advantage absent displacement by a higher level of productiveness) or the “social subjectivity” nature importantly distinguished by Mr. Sakaiya[10], things are different. In the former case, the labor is NOT the product; the product is a new tool, instrument, technology, process, etc., whose manifest independent productiveness is so eagerly sought precisely for its ability to provide the attendant rents of novelty and productive independence, and ownership of which is not immediate or necessarily exclusive. In the latter case, while the inseparable labor/product condition obtains, the “social-subjectivity” nature of its content makes it vulnerable to countervailing constraints that have profoundly important implications with respect to how justified we are to extrapolate for such production the infinite opportunity, as labor, often expected of the “information economy”. 

To clarify, these latter considerations are closely related to the information-economic emphasis on the idea - based on the fact that consumption of any unit of information does not exhaust it or preclude its use as a further source for other production or as other consumption - that there is a kind of infinity of economically viable opportunity that necessarily follows. This expectation, in turn, is closely associated with ideas that the unlimited product diversification, and/or customization allowed by digital technology potentially provides a basis for knowledge-value production fulfilling these potentials as a possibly equally unlimited source of high-pay, essentially artisan labor. As we might expect, things are not quite so straightforward nor, necessarily, so sanguine, regardless how high and pervasive the skill level.

Arguably the most crucial and insightful economic points advanced in Mr. Sakaiya’s important book on knowledge-value are the discussions of the subjectivity-related instability of such value and the extent to which the opportunity promise of factors such as diversification and customization, while not vacuous, are constrained by the twin countervailing influences of a “decision-making cost” and time/ attention limitations. These limitations, and the more general importance of their implications, can be highlighted by noting that companies representing the very epitome of subjectivity-driven knowledge-value - movie companies - have recently curtailed production plans for highly pertinent reasons. Recognition that as market segmentation (diversification) proliferates via technologies making plausible not merely the once awesome, but now almost quaint idea of a 500 channel universe, but instead a virtually one-channel-per-person universe, economic viability is severely challenged by virtue of a macro-market so flooded with selection that no entry may have sufficient market success to justify its production expense, even as that expense much more closely approaches zero than is the case for current feature film production. In short, the question arises: at what point of intersection does the reduction of audience and limitations of time/attention for search and consumption render this hypothetical infinity of information-economic opportunity practically and economically untenable? It is an interesting and challenging case for matrix, finite-field and combinatorial mathematics. In any case, it is emblematic of precisely the constraining forces of “decision-making cost” and time/attention limitations. And it applies far more generally than just to movies. Indeed, it may well be the dialectic flip side of the well known increasing returns, or network effect, so frequently enforce in the information economy; the effect whereby the utility and ultimate economic viability of a product is enhanced proportionate to the number using it.   Perhaps ironically, it is precisely because of the fact that instances of network-effect success – such as many of the most well known software companies – tend toward being what is frequently referred to as natural monopolies that the Binary case for universalizing equity ownership is not only far from irrelevant, but is actually especially relevant given the extent to which this will be necessary to counter balance their tendency toward the winner-take-all outcomes that, otherwise, heavily contribute to grossly concentrated distributions of wealth.

Thus, a curious paradox emerges between growth of material wealth and growth of information economic wealth. Ironically, while desire for wealth may be generally limitless, the economic viability of the former is practically constrained in principle only by adequate generation and distribution of wealth to create, sustain and secure it, whereas generation and availability of the latter is in theoretical principle limitless but economically ultimately constrained in practical reality by time/attention and decision-making cost factors, regardless of wealth availability to create, sustain or secure it. This is the little noted, negative flip side to the fact that knowledge-value production, per se, is frequently not terribly capital intensive, and can inhere in labor, qua labor. Also, however infinite the reuse of information may be or seem in purely abstract principle, its economically relevant parsing is far from infinite at any point in time and in any particular context. It is always constrained by what might be referred to as a signification-congruence imperative, which may not be quite the antithesis of infinity, but an implicit, effective law of context-dependence certainly renders infinity a grossly excessive claim. These considerations would thus argue, again perhaps ironically, that not only is Binary capital-ownership-universalization not anachronistic or irrelevant in an “information/ knowledge-value” economy, but may be highly facilitating of it precisely by providing not only the greater distribution of wealth to support it, but by also providing the increasing leisure time that such an increasing dynamic of market segmentation requires to minimize the inevitable intrusion of the limiting decision-making and time/attention costs associated with such segmentation. But there is one additional reason why the prospect of knowledge-value production, as a potentially infinite source of premium labor opportunity must be viewed as highly suspect in the longer, though not necessarily very distant, term.


NANOTECHNOLOGY AND THE INFINITE-PRODUCTIVITY HORIZON

 

Discussions of product/market diversification are frequently contrasted with assembly line mass production: staid, static and incapable of the necessary adaptability to initiate customization at prices tenable to a mass market. Clearly, digital technology has begun to make mass customization viable to a middle class market. What is not generally noted is the reality that the same digital technologies that are rendering this earlier production limitation moot are, themselves, in comparatively very early stages of sophistication. When one looks to the technology horizon, the same technologies (read capital) that may now provide artisan viability to labor production of knowledge-value in the form of intermediary consulting functions (design, style, etc.), will ultimately enable customers, perhaps on something like a virtual utility-like basis, to become their own designers, stylists, consultants, etc. In other words, the very proponents of the opportunities associated with knowledge-value production and the information economy may well be under-estimating their own subject and thus underestimating just how deep and far reaching the independent productiveness of capital may become. This possibility takes us to the threshold of our final considerations.

In 1986, K. Eric Drexler released a book entitled, ENGINES OF CREATION:THE COMING ERA OF NANOTECHNOLOGY. In it, he discusses the approaching prospect of an ultimate, constructive command over material nature from atoms and molecules up, instead of from bulk materials down.   The result would be an explosion of productive capability that would make what has transpired since the Industrial Revolution pale by comparison. A reduction of production costs, making unheard of wealth vastly more pervasively available, was also explicit. Based on the concept of a universal nanoassembler, the result would be self-replication capability, coupled to extraordinarily powerful Artificial Intelligence, allowing for not merely self-production, but autonomous modification and adaptation to environments or preferences.

While these projections were originally considered by some to be little more than science fiction, sufficient R&D progress has already been made in the relatively few years since to considerably temper such dismissive inclinations. Though certainly still contentious in some quarters, if Mr. Drexler is correct in asserting about a nanotechnology based on universal assemblers, “their emergence seems almost inevitable”[11], the economic implications command our attention by virtue of a unique threat to the labor-productivity paradigm. However contentious technically in the short term, prudence and humility about the limits of our current state of knowledge at the interface of the numerous relevant disciplines would dictate that we resist being too cavalier in prematurely pronouncing impossibility.

From our standpoint, however, such productive capabilities should, in principle, sound strikingly familiar. Indeed, to a Binary economist they would have precisely such a ring of familiarity; they would, in fact, be a clear, if extreme, instantiation of the Binary principle of the independent productiveness of capital. They also allow us to introduce the speculative concept of an infinite-productivity horizon and further allow us to inquire into what implications such a horizon would illuminate for an economic system whose wealth distribution mechanism is almost completely dependent on labor, and whose productivity-based theoretical rationale for justifying this dependence excludes consideration of independent capital productiveness. Such a horizon may ultimately be vastly more relevant and significant to the future of Capitalism than what is currently laboristically anticipated of the “information economy”.

In introducing the idea of an “infinite-productivity horizon”, we will provide a limited example from the Binary literature. This example, originally voiced with irony, was meant as a challenge and source of heightened relief to the distinction between the limits of the traditional productivity proposition and the advantages of the Binary productiveness concept. Parenthetically, it is worth noting that the utter inability of the traditional productivity paradigm to provide a self-consistently meaningful distributional characterization of such scenarios should be a strong hint as to their relative conceptual and theoretical merits. With this example in mind, however ironically or facetiously intended by Professor Ashford originally, we propose that the increasingly plausible prospect of the eventual realization of a nanoassembler production capability compels us to entertain the concept of an “infinite productivity horizon” not at all ironically.

“Consider now the example of a company that owns a building with ten manual elevators and employs ten elevator operators to run them. . . . On a trial basis, the company replaces five of the ten manual elevators with automatic elevators . . .The productivity of those who are discharged has fallen to zero with respect to their former job, (my emphasis) although they are functionally no different in their capabilities and have the same potential productivity as those still on the job. . . . To press the example further, in the following year, the remaining manual elevators are replaced by another five automatic elevators. With the operator hours now decreased to zero, should one conclude that the productivity of the operators, now on the unemployment or welfare rolls, has become infinite? (106) The value of the fraction output/input becomes infinitely large as the denominator becomes infinitely small (i.e., approaches zero). In terms of calculus used to describe marginal productivity: Lim F(o/I) = infinity, as I approaches zero.”[12] 

As long as we could rely on technological advancements being sufficiently incremental and paced so that pockets of such eruptions of “infinite productivity” were limited to a production function here and a production function there, sparsely scattered through a generally expanding larger economy that would reabsorb the displaced labor, in a process that we could hope would reliably repeat itself ad infinitum, our complacency could remain intact; under no apparent threat, content that there was not something more significant to consider; content that there was not some deeper principle – precisely such as Binary productiveness – to be seriously considered, and oblivious of what the implications might be if the productivity “ran out”.

The prospect of nanoassembler-based nanotechnology gives us an exciting glimpse of something that ought to also give us a very serious moment of economic pause by revealing a threat to the complacency of these assumptions. It raises the prospect, not of gradual, incremental, sparsely scattered outbursts of “infinite productivity”; it raises the prospect of a quantum leap, an event horizon. In fact, it raises the prospect of an “infinite productivity horizon” with respect to material production generally, and, when coupled to much more potent Artificial Intelligence, perhaps considerably more than just material production. This, in turn, makes the continued denial of the Binary principle of the independent productiveness of capital seem increasingly strained, if not down right obstinate and ludicrous. In effect, “Although conventional economics promises most people greater market participation in production only (emphasis in original) by way of higher productivity, binary logic shows that, as capital productiveness replaces labor productiveness and greatly adds to total productiveness, it inevitably concentrates any higher human productivity into relatively fewer workers per unit of production.” (my emphasis)[13] takes on its fullest possible significance when capital productiveness completely supercedes labor not in a locally isolated production function, but categorically, as in such nanotechnology. It puts less categorical productiveness on steroids, with the most dire of systemic implications. Specifically, any economic system that relies almost exclusively, as do virtually all forms of extant capitalism - either controlled or unregulated, Turbo-capitalism - on the laboristic productivity proposition for its core theoretical characterization of production, and then thereby rationalizes an equally almost exclusive social reliance on labor for its mechanism for the distribution of wealth, will find itself at a sudden, critical and very unforgiving systemic inflection point; hence the cautionary choice of epigrams introducing this essay.

Finally, it is important to re-emphasize that what adds even more social urgency to the visionary prospect of such awesome productive capability is recognition that the very same technologies will have, in fact are already beginning to have, similarly powerful effects in the field of computer technology that will allow for their coupling with Artificial Intelligence far beyond our current capabilities. This will enable the coupling of unprecedented design plasticity to an unprecedented productive capability, allowing for the prospect, mentioned earlier, of either autonomous adaptability or customer self-customization of a sophistication only barely hinted at with today’s digital technology. We would be well advised to consider Mr. Drexler closely when he says: “Assemblers will be able to make virtually anything from common materials without labor (emphasis mine) . . . they will transform technology and the economy at their roots . . .”[14], and also, “Consider the force of this situation: under development will be the greatest production tool in history, a truly general fabrication system able to make anything that can be designed . . .”.[15]  In light of the emergence of the self-limiting constraints of decision-making costs and temporal limitation already mentioned, which strongly suggest that reliance on ever greater educational attainment for assuring some hoped-for, endless monetization of “knowledge production”, per se, and, thus, universal economic viability for a purely labor-based wealth distribution mechanism, is highly problematic, technology of this level of independent productiveness renders the assumption that the existing productivity paradigm is theoretically remotely sufficient, even more of a laboristic phantom and tends to lend very substantial basis for considering the possibility that there may well be a near historical inevitability to the ultimate vindication and adoption of the Binary principles of productiveness and systemic prescriptions for universalizing ownership of capital.      

 

                           

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



[1] Lester C. Thurow, THE FUTURE OF CAPITALISM: HOW TODAY’S ECONOMIC FORCES SHAPE TOMMORROW’S WORLD.

James K. Galbraith, CREATED UNEQUAL: THE CRISIS IN AMERICAN PAY

Edward Luttwak, TURBO-CAPITALISM: WINNERS & LOSERS IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY

[2] Louis Kelso & Mortimer Adler. (1958) The Capitalist Manifesto, Louis Kelso & Mortimer Adler. (1961) The New Capitalists, Louis Kelso & Patricia Hetter (1967) Two Factor Theory: The Economics of Reality, Louis Kelso & Patricia Hetter-Kelso (1991) Democracy and Economic Power:Extending the Esop Revolution Through Binary Economics, Robert Ashford (1990) The Binary Economics of Louis Kelso: The Promise of Universal Capitalism, Rutgers Law Journal, 22, 3-120, Robert Ashford (1996) Louis Kelso’s Binary Economy, The Journal of Socio-Economics, vol. 25, #1.

3. Louis Kelso’s Binary Economy, by Robert Ashford, Professor of Law, Syracuse University. Vol. 25, #1, 1996. The Journal of Socio-Economics.

[4] From pg. 5 of BINARY ECONOMICS:THE NEW PARADIGM. Robert Ashford & Rodney Shakespeare.

[5] Some cases may be of arresting abstractness, including that of a high tech software company implementing a recent breakthrough in the esoteric domain of finite-field mathematics as the basis for patents to make dramatically more efficient and to significantly expand the functional capabilities of the XML computer language. It would be difficult to get less tangible than a break through in an area as abstract as finite-field mathematics. But the key point is clearly that the amount of human calculational effort that would be required to replace what the technical instantiation of these abstract insights allow algorithmically, can leave no doubt that independent productiveness is conceptually far more inclusive than merely cases of gross physical output. Hence the highly equivocal nature of any assumption that there is some mutual exclusivity between the relevance of Binary economics and the “Information Economy”.  

[6] P.267/270 THE KNOWLEDGE-VALUE REVOLUTION:Or A History Of The Future by Taichi Sakaiya.

[7] P.280/281 THE FUTURE OF CAPITALISM:How Today’s Economic Forces Shape Tommorrow’s World by Lester C. Thurow

[8] ibid.

[9] See, CREATED UNEQUAL:The Crisis In American Pay by Professor James K. Galbraith.

[10] Ibid.

[11] K. Eric Drexler, ENGINES OF CREATION:THE COMING ERA OF NANOTECHNOLOGY, pg. 20.

[12] From, pgs. 26/27, THE BINARY ECONOMICS OF LOUIS KELSO:THE PROMISE OF UNIVERSAL CAPITALISM. Rutgers Law Journal Vol. 23, #1, Fall 1990. By Professor Robert H.A. Ashford.

[13] From, pg.207, BINARY ECONOMICS:THE NEW PARADIGM by Robert Ashford & Rodney Shakespeare.

[14] K. Eric Drexler, ENGINES OF CREATION:THE COMING ERA OF NANOTECHNOLGY, pg. 63.

[15] Ibid. pg. 50.

By Mark Reiners March 12, 2024

March 12 , 2024

This essay is in response to the October 2023 interview and discussion between Prosocial World and Evolution Institute founder, and renowned evolutionary biologist, David Sloan Wilson, and Resident Senior Fellow at the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment, and author (The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition), Denise Hearn,

See: https://youtu.be/iJZVOsEr6aU?si=I6n-JxR5Mt04_vt-



Of the many ProSocial interviews and discussions I have either attended and participated in, or watched on-demand afterwards, this is one I would certainly consider among the most important. The purpose of the following comments is twofold: to provide some context and reason for that assessment, and to define how a historic opportunity for the Human Energy, ProSocial and Evolution Institute organizations

- https://www.humanenergy.io/about

- https://evolution-institute.org/



to pursue ‘next steps’ after the recent Science of the Noosphere master class might be framed. And in the spirit of recognizing the importance of this webinar, beginning with a grateful salute of appreciation to both professor Wilson and Ms. Hearn is more than justified.



Given the richness and breadth of implications arising from Ms. Hearn’s presentation and the subsequent discussion with professor Wilson, my comments below will barely scratch the surface. But fair warning: the intent here is to be somewhat intentionally provocative.



Because of the definitional and intersecting thematic heterogeneities which Ms. Hearn dissects – and quite appropriately repeatedly refers to as “profound” - in presenting and illuminating the many facets involved in considering the intersection of anti-trust and other forms of regulatory commercial policy administration with sustainability, an increasingly dour, if not grim, sense of soberness about the severity of the challenge of seeking to realize the objective of substantive, constructive and decisive cooperation based on the principles of multi-level selection out of this seemingly hopeless legal and institutional Gordian Knot seemed to palpably grow as the discussion unfolded. This is perhaps most explicitly acknowledged by professor Wilson himself at about the sixty-four minute mark in the talk. Perhaps counter-intuitively, this may actually be a very good thing. Why? A deep sense of sobriety may be entirely appropriate given the highly non-trivial challenges – socially, politically, scientifically, and ecologically - associated with realizing the multi-level mandate of making the whole system the target of selection.



Reflecting on this presentation and discussion after a first, and then a second viewing, revived to mind a longer-term historical perspective which may be worth reiterating; one based on a correlated point I had raised in a blog written in review and support of a paper professor Wilson had co-authored with economist, Denis Snower some months ago. In it, I offered select grounds for why certain of the current characteristics of corporate charters should not be considered sacrosanct nor immune from review, nor from possibly deeply fundamental and far reaching modification of their terms and incentive profiles, if the objective of living within planetary boundaries – and doing so by the deep and pervasive degrees of multi-tiered and sectoral cooperation which doing so will necessarily require - is to ever be realized and sustained.

(See: Rethinking The Theoretical Foundations of Economics ).



The cited context for this suggestion was the then recent admonition by the IPCC that, “it is clear now that minor, marginal, reactive or incremental changes won’t be sufficient.”



As the following very informative article lays out, efforts to address the profound sustainability challenges we face with new commercial/business legal-entity forms, structures and business models have emerged, but the article itself then articulates cautionary observations which complement the bias of the arguments to follow in these comments that these do not obviate the need for more deeper and more fundamental institutional innovation. Two of these cautionary passages especially stand out. “Incorporation laws that enable the formation of these businesses are ad hoc and vary wildly.” This is followed, importantly, by the two closing sentences. “We need to reform businesses so they adopt environmental protection goals on their own (emphasis in the original.). This means encouraging new legal forms of business: ones that allow the purpose, governance, and role of profit to align with the steady-state goal.”

https://steadystate.org/redesigning-business-for-sustainability/?blm_aid=109510



In this context it is also worth emphasizing something noteworthy: it seems to have recently finally become acceptable to demythologize the once virtually sacrosanct status accorded to the ‘(Milton) Friedman Doctrine’ pronouncements and characterization of the extremely constrained societal role and obligations of the commercial enterprise. Recent examples include:

https://hedgehogreview.com/issues/markets-and-the-good/articles/the-myth-of-the-friedman-doctrine

https://hedgehogreview.com/issues/markets-and-the-good/articles/profit-power-and-purpose



Considering that the first, formal corporate charter was granted by the British Crown to the East India Company in 1600 – i.e., now well over four hundred years ago - and that scholars have traced other antecedent structures sharing some similar characteristics to medieval Italy, and even as far back as ancient Rome, there should be little surprise that these foundational factors of the invisible legal infrastructure have come to seem not merely sacrosanct, but have come to be mistakenly taken by many as virtually the underlying economic equivalent of fixed physical laws and constants of nature; perhaps especially so in the world of finance. In reality, of course, they are nothing of the kind; they are human constructs and, as such, potentially perfectly malleable, pending contingencies of context, need, objectives and priorities.

(And a glimpse at the scholarship in economic history which has emerged in recent years exploring why much greater appreciation for the path-dependent nature of the institutional forms which now prevail, and for the penumbra of interpretive nuance associated with their original rationales and current justifications would corroborate such a tempered perspective; e.g., see recent books by USC professor Jacob Soll and colleagues, Glory M. Liu of Harvard, and Brad DeLong of UC Berkeley, and their recent discussion at:

https://youtu.be/peHlMwkGnGo?si=PnuIz2xVYTYevW3X )



The reason for citing the deep symbiosis between the emergence of the corporate charter and the State is that it has effectively played the role ever since of grounding what has become a path-dependent operational condition of virtually incontestable policy deference due to the State priority assigned to economic conquest, expansion and aspirations for competitive dominance. And though the process of corporate formation evolved over time to become much more routine, this very ease enabled their vast proliferation, while the naturally inevitable coupling with accelerating technological advancements morphed together until they became operationally inseparable as the foundational ‘metabolism’ of the entire social/economic system. But to the extent that historians concur in dating the genesis of the modern Nation State itself to be defined by the 1648 signing of the Treaties of Westphalia, assigning relative priority and importance between these entities, growing ever more reinforced in their symbiotic mutual dependence, may be considered a very interesting and open question; as considerable contemporary scholarship indeed seems to consider it. But given such a lengthy history of mutual self-preservation – often rationalized in terms of ‘national security’ - nor should it surprise that, generation after generation, and even century after century, a self-reinforcing legion of lawyers, lobbyists, short-sighted (even if not ethically compromised) legislators, and apologist academic theoreticians have become exceptionally adept at concocting rationales and mechanisms to reinforce justifying the misplaced sense of the sacrosanct, and assuring that any prospect of serious reevaluation, let alone actual modification, that might jeopardize State-mediated incumbent power and advantage would be, if not completely eliminated, minimized to precisely change which is generally only “minor, marginal, reactive or incremental”.



In this sense, the Gordian Knot exposed by Ms. Hearn’s presentation, and inclusive of arguably often spurious protestations against any perceived challenge to their prerogatives by commercial incumbents and their defenders, can be seen historically as the path dependent accretion of such mechanisms of obfuscation and obstruction. And as long as a self-serving culture of Social Darwinist rationalizations could be invoked in justification, and as long as social and political manipulations were available to contain any backlash challenges – prospective or actual - arising from ‘mere’ human suffering resulting from the specific formulation of this paradigm, maintaining this conditionally baked-in status quo inertia could be and has been reliable and incredibly durable over time; even if at the expense of such an ever expanding legal definitional Gordian Knot fur ball as illuminated here. Until now.



As increasingly evidenced by climate-reality acknowledgment from the insurance, re-insurance and a growing number of other industries - with the backlash against narrow incumbent privilege effectively coming not (yet) from a revolutionary human rabble brandishing pitchforks and guillotines, but from the planet itself - the historical perspective invoked above suggests that what we are seeing emerge is a classic collision between an ostensibly immovable object with an irresistible force playing out as a kind of existential game of chicken.



But the historically tried-and-true immovability posturing of incumbent legal gamesmanship is now up against this stark reality for the first time: the actually irresistible force of the planet, and its’ very real biophysical and geophysical limits, could not be more indifferent to legal gamesmanship because the laws of physics and chemistry by which it operates simply aren’t playing; the dynamics of those entropic and other physical laws are perfectly willing to steamroll right over the legal, financial, legislative, academic or other ‘masters of the universe’ who continue to presume, in spite of all evidence to the contrary, that their narrow parochial exercise of legal, legislative and institutional tactics designed to eliminate or constrain change to the “minor, marginal, reactive or incremental’ can again prevail as they largely always have; a very bad bet indeed since ‘prevailing’, in this case, courts the equally very real entailment of civilizational consequences of potential suicidal moment, notwithstanding derisive accusatory invocations of ‘climate catasrophizing’ by the dwindling cadre of those determined to remain devotees of climate-change denialism, in disregard of all mounting experiential evidence and increasing rigor in scientific modeling and inference to the contrary.



One intention here is to suggest that considering the severity of the Gordian Knot noted above as a kind of symptomatic metric of the historic significance of the impending transition would be a more than merely justified framing, and that the virtually reflexive incumbent attempts to limit change to the “minor, marginal, reactive or incremental’ now so broadly evident are simultaneously misguided, tinged with a scent of the desperate, illustrative of a severe underestimation of this historic significance, and reflective of an almost dizzyingly disorienting deficit of institutional and administrative imagination. In one sense, this final deficit is understandable since the default political and legal tendency is to address problems by not looking beyond the many implicated ‘silos’ but to merely tweak at this familiar proximate level as timidly as it is possible to get away with. Recognizing this, a further intended suggestion of these comments is that it may be equally misguided and futile to envision resolving this Gordian Knot by such piecemeal means. But suggesting this naturally begs the questions, ‘why’, and ‘what is the alternative’?



To approach an answer for the first question, it may be useful to mentally rewind the clock to the year 1600 and ask the following: what was the imperative at that time which made necessary the structuring of that initial corporate charter by the British Crown? Answer: the need to distribute the risk of the otherwise overwhelming cost and other expeditionary demands of realizing the Crown’s exploration and expansionist economic objectives. With that in mind, but returning to the present, the problem now is precisely that the political/governmental, institutional, legal and financial antecedents then instantiated to satisfy those objectives have ravenously expanded and taken on a life of their own to the point where their reflexive tendencies of self-perpetuation now obstruct broader systemic resilience; obstruct allowing appropriate systemic adaptations even though the current driving imperative is dramatically altered from what it was judged to be in 1600; largely precisely because of the amplifying feedback dynamics and associated exponential successes of what was unleashed in 1600. And lest anyone imagine that State/econo-financial symbiosis as the key driver of nearly unconditional policy deference can be left as a relic of history associated exclusively with the colonial era, a recent book may help to disabuse any such notion: The Underground Empire , by Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman (see: https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250840554/undergroundempire ).



And in a very important sense, even though it may seem obvious that interrogating the nature of our current driving imperative would lead to an answer focused on addressing the highly multi-dimensional ‘wicked problem’ of the climate challenge, a strong case could be made that this, though clearly necessary, may itself be regarded as relatively proximate and symptomatic; that what is more deeply primary is actually a governance meta-challenge: i.e., how to make endogenous to the very process of governance the imperative to enable resilient adaptation of its’ own processes so that necessary and constructive modifications to its’ own modes of operation, policies and objectives are facilitated rather than being allowed to become ossified sources of self-perpetuating obstruction to such adaptations; significantly via various forms of ‘capture’ by both commercial and political incumbents seeking to diffuse disadvantage anticipated from the needed modifications.



One prominent, and often even reflexive, response to this is easy to anticipate. Many would vociferously argue that these are precisely the adaptive capabilities already available to us through democracy. But the reality is far more problematic and nuanced. Not unlike the fact that there are many forms or realizations of ‘capitalism’, to realize (or not) such an adaptive ideal via democracy, the form of the democratic system matters, and it matters a lot . For ‘exhibit A’, we need look no further than the shocking level of virtually adolescent dysfunction currently on display in the legislative branch of the U.S. Federal government. But more generally, current forms of democracy (U.S. included) are not even close to satisfying the ideal with respect one of the most important organizing and driving forces in social life: economics.



Amazingly, with the exception of taxation and trade issues, and in spite of how categorically fundamental to life this factor is, it is almost completely absent from the founding documents defining the U.S. republic; many, if not most, of whose founders were, as is generally well recognized, (white) men of either relative affluence or of actual economically independent means. From the perspective of today - especially after the revelations provided by the scholarship of Thomas Piketty regarding how inextricable ownership of capital assets, and the income streams they can provide, are to securing wealth - one can only stand somewhat agog that, after stipulating as universal and inalienable the rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness, the founding documents remain so conspicuously mute about making explicit, universal participatory economic rights for citizens so as to assure enabling the living realization of those higher, more normative and abstract rights for which the American Declaration of Independence is so rightly renowned.



(For a deeply researched narrative of how contentious the process of U.S. Constitutional passage was, how very narrowly it passed, which class and economic interests were subordinated, how and why, and which managed to ascend and prevail as superordinate because of whose voices were granted most prominence, a very strong recommendation is given to: The Framer’s Coup: The Making of the United States Constitution , by Michael J. Klarman. See: https://hls.harvard.edu/bibliography/the-framers-coup-the-making-of-the-united-states-constitution/ .)



In spite of the growing prevalence of politically-correct, socially placating lip service given at now untold numbers of World Economic Forum or other think tank or academic presentations, and/or panel discussions in recent years – often enunciated in a ‘green washing’ or other political PR context - to how dire the need is to address economic inequality, why are the economic and financial ‘rules of the game’ still written not merely to enable, but to insure that ownership of productive capital assets – as Piketty illuminated, the real wellspring of wealth - remain concentrated in the hands of a vanishingly small subset of the population instead of writing them to insure the opposite; i.e., that such ownership be made universal as a natural right of every (global) citizen, necessary to attain life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness? Why are we still clinging to the social and economic opportunity-cost tragedy, yet almost comically anachronistic idea, that the only viable mechanism for the mass distribution of income is through the sale of labor? The institutional forms and associated legally defined constraints which have locked us into this misguided path generation after generation are one perfect example of precisely the suggested de facto State grant of, and sustaining deference to what has become a severely anachronistic economic/financial/legal/academic status quo, and one contrary to the kind of systemically integrated change the IPCC is calling for. (And more than merely incidentally, a deference which was on full display during the aftermath of the 2007/8 economic crisis when recommendations for defining the terms in which post-crisis evaluation should be conducted and, then, what actual policy decisions should be taken in the wake of the crisis, came almost exclusively from this ‘priesthood’ of the status quo; having everything to do with propping up extant institutions and highly selective individual privilege rather than re-envisioning or seriously considering deeply fundamental theoretical and structural change; an enormous missed opportunity.)



The Founders at least had as tacit excuse for their sins-of-omission the fact that, in their pre-Industrial-Revolution era, still dominated by a nearly exclusively labor-based, agrarian economy, they could not be expected to anticipate how absolutely indispensable to the generation and maintenance of personal wealth and individual economic viability, competence and political autonomy the advances of technology would become. Anyone pleading ignorance of this dependence today would be suspect of either acute deficiencies of observation and inferential capacity, and/or a surfeit of guile so disingenuous that only among an audience populated by the similarly afflicted would there be any hope of not being laughed out of the room; or perhaps pelted out with rotten eggs and moldy tomatoes. Indeed, one measure of just how pervasive the brain washing is, might be crystallized with a corollary question: why in the world has the labor-union movement not long ago abandoned maintaining highly counter-productive labor/capital antagonism in favor of recognition that the far more potent – to say nothing of mutually beneficial - objective would be to collectively bargain for expanding, and ultimately universalizing, participation in ownership of the capital itself? Yet this extraordinary and unconscionable regime of exclusionary and highly concentrated ownership rights remains unscathed not merely decade after decade, but century after century; notwithstanding the current displays of crocodile tears of concern and hand wringing over the need for more equitable distributions of wealth. And this reality bears on a significant instance of, and exercise in the abuse of language intimately related to these considerations, and one which is frequently invoked, not infrequently, in paeans of nationalistic self-congratulation.



The American economic system is often said to be the embodiment of ‘democratic capitalism’. Oh really? While, yes, a republic having electoral political representation is certainly consistent with democratic principles, the absence of any formal Constitutional or other fundamental and universal, rights-based legislated linkages between political suffrage, and provisions explicitly stipulating and ensuring a citizen’s universal right for what might be called ‘economic suffrage’, the nearly exclusive reliance for earning a livelihood of the vast majority of citizens on the fickle vicissitudes often associated with the sale of their labor (i.e., ‘wage slavery’), and their nearly total exclusion from meaningful participation in the markets for ownership of productive capital assets and their associated income streams, embodies nothing remotely close to a system of decisional citizen agency inclusive of such rights, and thus deserving to be characterized as ‘democratic capitalism’. (Of considerable historic note, and to their great credit, both Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln intuitively grasped an important related truth: the independence-of-mind and relative immunity from economic or other influences of coercion with which political suffrage can be exercised will also be a diminished, if not nominal, thing in the absence of such broader and more inclusive ‘economic suffrage’ and independence.) The more cynical or conspiratorially minded might be forgiven for inferring that perhaps this is precisely the point, and that this conceptually utterly unnecessary political/economic schism is both how and why such a socially perversely exclusionary regime could be sustained and allowed to persist for so long. (As a brief aside, in another of professor Wilson’s recent ProSocial webinars - with Jerome Warren on the subject of Cooperatives - Mr. Warren makes reference to the fact that the Italian Constitution explicitly does make provision for what has apparently become an extremely diverse, creatively vibrant, highly productive, growing and substantive ecosystem of cooperatives within Italy; a not insignificant fact which might hold interesting promise as a possible model to internationally encourage dissolution of this political/economic schism, in spite of the case to be made that the cooperative, as an institutional form, might be reasonably characterized, for all its’ benefits, as a kind of desperate social ‘backdoor’ compromise effectively compelled by exactly the absence of the broader, and more institutionally formal ‘economic suffrage’ only intimated above, but fully possible.)



Returning now to address the second part of the question posed above – i.e., what is the alternative to piecemeal efforts to disentangle the Gordian Knot illuminated by Ms. Hearn’s presentation – may be best approached by momentarily stepping back for a bit of reorientation.

The Systems Change Lab is an organization doing very important work. A passage from comments opening a training webinar recently conducted to guide users on how to navigate and leverage the many resources which their powerful website offers, provides exactly the reorientation needed here. (See: https://youtu.be/y0vBfOtMCJQ?si=Bexq9CUb-wb4Vn28 ). And the attentive reader will also notice that this passage is also highly complementary with the IPCC excerpt cited above.



“Nearly every major system will need to transform. This includes things like how we power our economies, how we grow food, build cities, conserve nature and beyond. And additionally, cross cutting transitions also need to occur in our political, social and economic systems. By using system syncing we know that these changes are complex and interconnected, and we can’t change one system without changing others .” (Bold/italic emphasis added.)







The relevance of this passage for purposes of imagining alternatives to disentangling by piecemeal means the Gordian Knot noted above is insidiously easy to overlook. Such means tacitly assume that the identity of the ‘pieces’ would remain essentially unaltered by any successful disentangling. As such, the effort effectively devolves to an exercise of tweaking within the parameters of that assumption. But under conditions of highly multi-dimensional integration suggested in both the passage just quoted, as with the previous IPCC excerpt, it is often the very identity of the ‘pieces’, how they are organized, and literally the semantics of the very criteria in terms of which any needed disentangling would take place which cannot be assumed to have remained stable and fixed. In fact, in this sense, a more appropriate characterization of the scenario may actually be far less a case of disentangling at all, and far more a case of creative and systemically re-conceptualizing according to a new systemic gestalt whose defining causal and semantic profile might be quite distinct from that which led to the original ‘knotting’.



In this case, just one example of what would likely be a quite severe incongruity with the historically path-dependent existing gestalt out of which that dread Gordian Knot emerged, would be any new system design which ceases to continue granting the virtually incontestable operational and policy deference to the State/economy alignment which prevails in the current paradigm; a deference which, both historically and to this very day, effectively entails that every other aspect of the system must effectively play ‘second fiddle’ because they remain bound and inhibited within the legal/financial prerogatives and associated institutional constraints of that alignment; health and viability of the planet, or any other priority be damned. Hence, consider the famous quip by political advisor to former President Clinton, James Carville: "I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody." Hence, consider the growing ranks of global corporations reneging on prior net-zero or other climate ‘commitments’, even while their ‘green washing’ PR campaigns may continue unabated in striving to associate themselves with, and portray themselves as responsible participants in the very transition they are betraying; something which further betrays a kind of theoretical, institutional and, indeed, even systemic schizophrenia which dare not be acknowledged even though failure to acknowledge it simply compounds both the betrayal and the schizophrenia, assuring that the civilizational existential game of chicken persists.



Understood in this light, the protestations proclaiming ‘democratic capitalism’ suddenly deflate almost to the point of farce, being more worthy of ridicule rather than justification with quasi-theological allegiance; and though misguided, an allegiance so potent, that its’ grant of deference and license has been many times invoked – not infrequently by rousing nationalistic tribalism - to rationalize and justify policies and exercises of power that it is unlikely any authentically democratic process would ever sanction.



And if the revelations of Ms. Hearn were not enough, further basis for the increasing sense of soberness observed over the course of discussion during this webinar is provided by the following excerpt from professor Katharina Pistor’s very important 2019 book, The Code of Capital: How the Law Creates Wealth and Inequality :

Like most empires of the past, the empire of law is a patchwork; it consists not of a single global law, but of select domestic laws that are knit together by rules, including conflict-of-law rules that ensure the recognition and enforcement of these domestic laws elsewhere, as well as select international treaty law. The decentered nature of the law that is used to code global capital has many advantages. It means that global commerce and finance can thrive without a global state or a global law; and it allows those in the know to pick and choose the rules that best suit their or their clients’ interests. In this way, the empire of law severs the umbilical cord between the individual’s self-interest and social concerns. The legal decoding of capital reveals Smith’s invisible hand as a substitute for a reliable legal code – visible even if often hidden from sight, and with a legal infrastructure firmly in place that is global in scope – that is no longer serving its purpose. Effective legal protection almost anywhere allows private self-interest to flourish without the need to return home to benefit from local institutions. Capital coded in portable law is footloose; gains can be made and pocketed anywhere and the losses can be left wherever they fall.”



How non-trivial this passage is in the context of this webinar, the context of professor Wilson and Snower’s recognition and explanation of the evolutionary reasons that the validity of Smith’s ‘Invisible Hand’ metaphor must be seen as contextually conditional rather than the categorical universal it is traditionally asserted to be, or of Ms. Hearn’s important acknowledgment that the now anachronistic nature of key tenets of neoclassical economics renders it hopelessly insufficient as a basis for providing guidance to anti-trust administrators who might recognize the imperative of applying multi-level selection criteria in executing their professional oversight duties relating to mergers, and/or allowable levels of cooperation among firms in service of attaining ecological sustainability, and its’ importance in the context of the suggestion raised in these comments that the exact nature of these very duties might be markedly different from how they are manifest at present if the terms defining rights and obligations in corporate charters were altered to be consistent with those criteria rather than antagonistic to them, all would be difficult to overstate. And how non-trivial it is for the prospect of authentic democratic governance is compounded by the following somewhat more extended passage appearing a bit further in professor Pistor’s book under the sub-heading, An Exorbitant Privilege :



“The story about capital and its legal code is complicated as the legal modules that are used are complex and hidden in arcane statutory or case law and the plot frequently develops behind the closed doors of large law firms, with only a rare airing in a court of law or parliament. The legal code confers attributes that greatly enhance the prospects of some assets and their respective owners to amass wealth relative to others – an exorbitant privilege. Choosing the assets and grafting onto them the legal attributes of priority, durability, universality, and convertibility is tantamount to controlling the levers for the distribution of wealth in society.

“This account contradicts the standard argument that capitalist economies are defined by free markets that allocate scarce resources efficiently and that prices reflect the fundamental value of assets. Many legal scholars have already drawn attention to the fact that the operation of the market hinges on legal institutions that facilitate price discovery. I go a step further and argue that the legal coding accounts for the value of assets, and thus for the creation of wealth and its distribution. This should be only too apparent with respect to financial assets and intellectual property rights that do not exist outside the law. However, it is also true for simpler assets that were used as the prototypes for legal coding, such as land or pools of assets held together in firms.

“States and state law are central to the coding of capital. States have not only dismantled existing rights and privilege to make room for the power of market forces, as Polanyi has pointed out. Capital and capitalism would not exist without the coercive power of states. States often do not, in fact they need not, control the legal coding process itself. Indeed, at the frontiers where new capital rights are minted day by day in the offices of law firms, states take a back seat. But states provide the legal tools that lawyers use; and they offer their law enforcement apparatus to enforce the capital that lawyers have crafted. Not all coding strategies will go unchallenged, and some of them will be struck down at a future date. Many, however, will never be scrutinized, and others will survive the challenge; and the few that are eventually struck down often have already produced fortunes for their holders.

“The ability to graft the code’s modules onto an ever changing roster of assets makes lawyers the true masters of the code of capital. In principle, anyone has access to lawyers and their coding skills, but the market for legal services ensures that only the best-paying clients can hire the most skillful among them. The specifics about how assets are selected for legal coding are rarely scrutinized. The common depictions of law as stable, almost sacrosanct, immunize from the public eye the work that is done more and more in private law firms, and less and less in parliaments or even court rooms.

“The state’s willingness to recognize and enforce privately coded capital, indeed to foster it by recognizing innovative coding strategies and the expansion of asset classes that can be legally coded as capital, may seem puzzling. Many a state has fallen for the promise that expanding the legal options for some, including offering them exemptions from general laws and other legal privileges, will enlarge the pie and offer greater prosperity for all. They frequently realize only later, that the trickle is often rather small. More important, most of the benefits from capital do not trickle down; they trickle up to capital holders who repatriate their gains or place them behind the legal shields other jurisdictions afford them to protect their wealth from tax and other creditors.

“Another explanation is that states themselves have more to gain than to lose from privileging capital by backing the private coding efforts that create it. States benefit from economic growth, because it boosts their tax revenue and allows them to raise debt finance. The fate of governments in democracies in particular has been tied ever more closely to their governments’ ability to produce growth. Growth rates, and the rise of stock markets, not the distribution of wealth or indices of human development, have become the standard measures for adjudicating success or failure of elected governments – in itself an indicator of the enormous cognitive sway capital has over politics. Yet, as many states have realized, the power of the tax sword has been blunted by sophisticated legal coding strategies that can hide assets from their reach. Even more generally, promoting the interests of capital first and foremost boosts private, not necessarily national, wealth and thereby fosters inequality. To see why this is so, we need to decode the legal structures of capital.”



There are at least two reasons for providing such an extended excerpt. First, the expert perspectives offered in it strongly reinforce recognition of several important factors: the depth and scope of State/economy symbiosis, the insidious nature of some of its implications in the global context, how these interface with the Gordian Knot illuminated in this webinar, and what this entails for the challenge of system change. But a second reason is to suggest that the very plasticity of the legal coding process presents a potentially positive flip side. In fact, professor Pistor herself intimates such possibilities when she references a very interesting and suggestive case brought before the Supreme Court in Belize by the Mayan tribe. In summary, she notes:



“But the story of the Maya and their quest to legally code their claims to the land also holds the promise that legal coding might be used for purposes other than private wealth maximization ; as the reasoning of the highest court in Belize suggests, property rights can take many shapes, and forms and they might just as well be used to protect collective use rights and sustainable practices (emphasis added).”



Part of the reason for highlighting this passage is the obvious salience it holds in the context of professor Wilson and Snower’s concerns to inform economic theory, practice and institutional design with insights from multi-level selection theory, including “collective use” scenarios. And if the plasticity of legal coding can serve in support of the “many shapes, and forms” in which property rights might be embodied for something as basic and fundamental as land, it is not a wild stretch to suggest that the possibilities for the other more intangible or sometimes even rarefied legal modules which professor Pistor addresses might hold even more creative potential. And this very possibility interfaces with another related context and perspective having great salience and enormous importance to the subject of this webinar. It comes from the very important recent book by professors David G. Victor and Charles F. Sabel, Fixing the Climate: Strategies for an Uncertain World . While this excerpt from the subsection, Governance , appearing in chapter 3, Theory of Experimentalist Governance , will also be of some extent, the reason for the indulgence should be almost immediately apparent.



. . . It is governance that determines whether regulation is adversarial or cooperative, and what those terms actually mean.

“Because governance links formal law to informal practice and public to private decision-making, it is sensitive to changes in economic and political conditions often well before such changes prompt reconsideration of legislation or regulatory rules – if they ever do. In short, law tends to lag where governance leads. For this reason, governance is frequently the language in which think tankers, academics, and business leaders broach proposals for reform too urgent to be postponed, yet too speculative to be codified into law. From this point of view, governance is a kind of test bed for urgent and often highly consequential adjustments to new circumstances.

“The rise of uncertainty is recasting the nature of the governance problem. For most of the last century, governance debates have been concerned with determining the identities and aligning the interests of principals and their agents. On this model, principals – whether the sovereign people, a legislative body, government administrator, controlling owner of a corporation, or corporate manager – have plans and projects. But to realize these plans, principals must rely on agents with interests of their own. If the background conditions are fixed, the principal’s problem is to devise an incentive system that induces agents to spend their efforts in achieving their goal rather than using the discretion their position affords to disguise self-interested behavior as dedication to the project. For instance, tying manager compensation to stock price increases links the interests of principals and agents when the principals are shareholders.

“When the background conditions are changing, however – as is typical of the episodes that provoke a concern with governance – the problem of aligning interests becomes entwined with the larger problem of determining which actors should be principals in the first place. . . .

“Even as these debates continue, the principal-agent relationship has been breaking down under uncertainty – first in pockets of the economy (like automobiles and semi-conductors) and areas of regulation (like pharmaceuticals or air pollution) especially exposed to rapid change, and then in fits and starts more generally. In a risky world, actors can assign probabilities to outcomes and incentivize behavior that leads to the desired ones. Under uncertainty, it’s impossible to anticipate what outcomes will be and hence impossible to assign them probabilities. In these circumstances, the challenge for governance changes radically. Under uncertainty, no actor alone can formulate plans with the precision and confidence necessary to engage agents for precise tasks, let alone devise methods to incentivize and hold them accountable. Conception cannot usefully be separated from execution. Actors instead have to collaborate, defining projects in the very process of trying to carry them forward, and using such progress as they make to reassess the feasibility of the undertaking along with the capabilities and reliability of their partners. In a stable world, in other words, agents execute steps in the plans of their principals, and the fact of their interdependence is covered over by the serviceable fiction that the principal is in control. Under uncertainty, however, planning and execution are inextricably connected; pooling their knowledge and experience, actors use the execution of provisional plans to revise their joint goals. Their mutual dependence is as open as the fallibility of their projects.

“Over the last few decades, in advanced sectors of the economy and public administration, this kind of collaboration has been institutionalized and given legal form, keeping cooperating actors accountable to each other despite the fluidity of their relations and transience of their plans, and thus protecting them against the vulnerabilities that their interdependence creates. Organizations are designed so that anomalies and surprises touch off an investigation of possible improvements rather than efforts to enforce the existing structure against newly identified risks. Regulations and contracts, long intended to be proof against every imaginable contingency, are likewise being reconceived as open to learning through use. The form of administrative decision-making is shifting as well, from the promulgation of rules to the issuance of guidance, in recognition of the impossibility of certitude and therefore the acceptance that directives will routinely need to be revised.”



The attentive reader will notice several sections in these passages of obviously high relevance either to the specific subject of this webinar and/or these comments more broadly.



Further, an important, though generally unacknowledged, part of exploring what alternative there might be to the otherwise excruciating prospect of attempting a piecemeal disentangling of the current regulatory, legal and econo-financial Gordian Knot is first to recognize this: that the knot is, to begin with, a reflection of, emerged because, and is one glaring embodiment of the fundamental inconsistency and conflict between human economic/financial, legal, institutional and social constructs which treat as ‘externalities’ natural processes and limits which are, in reality, foundational and endogenous and the factual, geophysical and biophysical scientific realities of the biosphere; a reality not yet recognized when the path-dependent historical process of institutional design and theoretical framing we have inherited, and are now constrained by, began four hundred years ago. But now, appropriate recognition of the endogeneity just noted demands the further recognition that the two stand not statically in an equilibrium relation to each other, merely as predefined subset to super-set, but in relational modes which are of a highly interactive, dynamic, interpenetrating, mutually generative nature and, therefore, complex, as opposed to merely ‘complicated’. By comparison, the merely complicated is easy; it can be algorithmically simulated while real complexity cannot. And it is real complexity, and the unanticipated and not predefined emergence of often surprising and disruptive novelty associated with it, that is at the root of the ‘wicked problem’ scenarios with which our social, economic, legal and governance institutions are continually confronted, and which provides another way to frame why the vision for their design on the basis of “experimental governance” principles enhances the chance to contend with them effectively; with climate change, per se, being almost certainly the most encompassing, though not exclusive, of such scenarios. Failure of such design leads to the Gordian Knot problem on display in this webinar by frequently, but perhaps often unnecessarily, imposing an impossible square peg-round hole problem associated with the exogeneity/endogeneity conflict just noted.



With this in mind, with the reality of planetary limits in mind, and recognizing how complementary principles of experimental governance are with the principles of multi-level selection, with the core design principles elaborated by Nobel laureate, Elinor Ostrom, and professor Wilson’s call for ‘the supremacy of the global’, coupled with ‘the subsidiarity of the local’ begs this very interesting question: how might the laws for corporate charters be reformulated to complement this, and how far might this go to not so much cut or disentangle the existing Gordian Knot illuminated in this webinar but, in effect, to dissolve it?



And given such a reformulation, another deeply important, interesting and challenging question follows.



A concept central to free-market, capitalist economics, as both an ideology and a putative science, is that of self-equilibration; generally construed in a price-auction, supply/demand framing; effectively, the tacit embodiment of the misguided equilibrium presumption foundational to neoclassical economics. But if a reformulation of corporate and economic law is to be a key part of modifying capitalist market economies so as to remove the numero uno deference they have effectively been accorded for over four hundred years to operate as if biophysical constraints and limits do not exist on the resource extraction, product production, waste, and the perpetual growth taken for granted by this presumption, when it becomes necessary to systemically include into a new global economic and financial metabolism operational recognition that they, in reality, do exist – as is beginning to occur now - what would the institutional and market redesigns need to look like to instantiate a legitimate concept of endogenous economic self-equilibration when that endogeneity must comprehend being truly systemic of global ecology, writ large, rather than merely the human production/consumption economics where the prevailing, much more narrow, incomplete and flawed equilibrium framing and institutional infrastructure associated with these, obtains? Merely posing this question explicitly unleashes a cascade of others; in addition to those pertaining to the administration of corporate law directly addressed in this webinar, others might include, whether prevailing private-banking, debt-based monetary theory and operations are complementary or antagonistic of this more expansive scenario; of the existing universe of financial instruments, which might remain complementary and which would need to be judged antagonistic; related to both of these, are extant configurations and ‘metabolic’ implications of both primary and secondary market structures and operations complementary or antagonistic? The preceding unleash yet another question which is especially important to consider.



By implication, these questions are intimately related to a cluster of important concepts at the intersection of conservation and ecological economics: e.g., the valuation of ecosystem services, when ‘markets’ for natural resources/capital are either highly inefficient or actually non-existent, and others. But systemically speaking, there is a potentially highly non-trivial ‘rub’ involved in the first of these. When we identify and mentally segregate for valuation purposes a given property of an ecosystem – e.g., watershed dynamics, or the relative vitality of the soil microbiome - and assign to it the designation of ‘service’, we impose, knowingly or not, a potential functional/causal and relational duality: the ‘service’ that it seems to provide us , and the natural functions (note the plural) that it may fulfill in the ecosystem, per se, when not subject to human intrusion. In other words, by our choosing to prioritize for valuation purposes such a mentally segregated ‘service’, how the dynamics and coupling of that ‘service’ is effected by market operations as a consequence of the particular ‘value’ we assign to that selection for whatever specific utility it is observed to provide to us , will not necessarily comport with how the ecosystem itself relationally embeds or ‘values’ the functional and causal tentacles of that property in time, space or feedback dynamics within the total embedding ecosystem. And if maintaining the latter, based on principles of multi-level selection, is taken to be the ideal target of selection, the divergence between the two, and its’ relative stability given selection, becomes an important governance and data/tracking consideration. One reason for this importance relates to potential sources of divergence over time; examples include possible systemic ‘service’ co-benefits having potentially non-trivial feedback/rebound effects, difficulty or even impossibility of formally assigning monetary value to intangible, and often highly value-laden normative properties which the ‘service’ or the larger ecology within which it is embedded may hold for various constituencies, and last-but-not-least, trade-offs. A recent IIASA webinar is of considerable merit on these points.

See: https://www.youtube.com/live/xCgtvRCKKYw?si=JTL6ibicgPUDCAdS



These understated observations also bring to mind a couple of cautionary passages by editors, Charles G. Curtain and Timothy F.H. Allen, from their book offering a collection of scholarly papers, Complex Ecology: Foundational Perspectives on Dynamic Approaches to Ecology and Conservation :



This means designing systems that can learn and adapt, so the process itself is essentially an experiment in which those involved learn from the experience. However, over 40 years of adaptive management have shown the concept is relatively easy in theory, and extremely hard in practice.”



And then, near the end of the book, the following excerpt expanding on why it is so “hard in practice” is telling in several respects.



While a command-control strategy is efficient and necessary in situations where rapid and directed action is needed (as in war), with long term and large scale challenges it is frequently counter productive for it assumes a level of continuity and predictability that was probably never realistic, but is especially unrealistic in an era of increasing rates of social and environmental change. This rigidity of design means that in the face of adversity they are intrinsically maladapted for they are always a step behind the latest perturbation (Holling 1986, Holling and Meffe 1996).

Essentially the intent of governments is to maintain existing power structures, not to sustain social and ecological integrity (Schumpter 1942, Homer-Dixon 2006). For power relationships are frequently at odds with long term sustainability (e.g. Tainter 1990). In essence, governance arrangements too often work to sustain existing institutions, rather than promote the institutional flexibility necessary to maintain the overall continuity of socio-ecological systems over the long haul. . . . Short-term competitiveness and long-term resilience are too often at odds for the very processes that make systems competitive in the short term, predispose them to failure over time (e.g. Tainter 1990).” (Bold emphasis added.)

Ostrom’s approach is predicated not on maximizing short term productivity, but on sustaining both social and ecological systems. This is accomplished through positive feedback loops that are not about control and resource concentration. Rather they are about promoting innovation to facilitate the processes whereby systems are sustained through learning, adaptation, and response to change (e.g. Meadows 1999, Article 30).”



Given the extent to which this invaluable collection of papers illuminates that, after many decades of quiet development, conservation science and scholarship itself has become broad, deep, and conceptually and analytically sophisticated, the fact that its’ insights and lessons have continued to formally remain largely excluded from institutions of governance at most, if not all, scales, and certainly have not theoretically informed or been integrated into operational economic and financial practice or institutional structures, should make the second of those excerpt passages every bit as sobering as this webinar ultimately became. Further, it should amplify awareness that the Gordian Knot the webinar unpacks effectively embodies the depth of the mutually reinforcing symbiosis between the State, and how the economy is currently theoretically framed and institutionally structured. And with that amplification constituting a reasonable measure of how historically significant the transition before us is, it should also instill a sense for how much an impediment the reflexive tendencies of status quo self-preservation this symbiote will present to making that transition. It should also provide at least an inkling of how deeply complementary this body of work is with the implications of professor Wilson’s theory of multi-level selection; something which should probably not come as a surprise since the natural systems with which conservation science largely deals are the living embodiment of such multi-level processes. But this is a decidedly mixed blessing; on the one hand, that very embodiment provides a kind of de facto conceptual corroboration from a scientific close cousin while, on the other hand, offering little hope that mere conceptual and scientific substance and significance will suffice to assure that the scales will fall from the eyes of recalcitrant entrenched academic, commercial or policy sources of denial and resistance.



While it is increasingly widely recognized by the growing cadre of important scholars involved in reevaluating economics – examples of such ‘renegade’ voices might include Jeremy Rifkin, Mariana Mazzucato, Steve Keen, Kate Raworth, Doyne Farmer and others – that the conceptual and mathematical armory applied to the study of biological systems constitutes a far more appropriate means of modeling and understanding economic processes, recognition of this may have stimulated far less consideration than is warranted of what this may entail in terms of how the institutional infrastructure of the economy may need to be modified to satisfy the kind of globally systemic objective suggested.



Convention insists that truly fundamental economic and financial conceptual, legal and institutional modification is not required; that merely tweaking factors-of-adjustment such as imposition of carbon pricing, bolstering the regulatory regime and, of course, buying in to the techno-optimist assumption that technological fixes are sufficient to realize the objective of a condition of socio-economic and ecological self-equilibration. But, in the first instance, from the perspective of ecological or regenerative economics, the very need to graft onto the system such a post-hoc, often far from perfectly objective cost/valuation assignments – even if only on an accounting, as opposed to a market basis - already represents a glaring theoretical and conceptual void representative of failing to see and design institutional structures in systemic terms; in the second instance, trying to accommodate the stated systemic-equilibration objective within the complex and highly non-linear dynamics of the living biosphere, while otherwise maintaining unscathed the extractive, perpetual-growth dynamic baked in to the unquestioned structural deference and priority accorded to the extant economic price-auction-efficiency, and private-banking, debt-based monetary regime in the face of the causally and functionally teaming and interpenetrating heterogeneity of the biosphere would impose perhaps impossible regulatory and administrative burdens. For the third instance (i.e., technological fixes), a level of nuance is required that it is generally not accorded. But, due to its’ importance, there may be no more appropriate basis for beginning to steer these comments toward closure in service of the objective stated at the outset, viz. a science of the Noosphere, than striving to provide at least a measure of this nuance.



Tempting as it is to pursue this by directly providing examples of, and exploring how far various emerging, and truly revolutionary technological innovations may be for pushing the production/consumption frontier toward viability with planetary boundaries, the purpose may be better served by stepping back to instead frame these considerations in terms of principles. Doing this is very well served by invoking several passages from the truly excellent book, An Introduction to Ecological Economics , (Robert Costanza, John H. Cumberland, Herman Daly, Robert Goodland, Richard B. Norgaard, Ida Kubiszewski, and Carol Franco). To start, the Chapter 3 sub-heading entitled, “ Complementarity, Substitutability, and Fundamental Limits ” is almost perfectly on point with the key principle:



Pg. 95

“A standard assumption of Neoclassical economics has been that factors of production are highly substitutable. Although other models of production have considered factors as not at all substitutable (e.g., the total complementarity of the Leontief model), the substitutability assumption has dominated. Consequently, the very idea of a limiting factor was pushed into the background. If factors are substitutes rather than complements, then there can be no limiting factor and hence no new era based on a change of the limiting role from one factor to another. It is therefore important to be very clear on the issue of complementarity versus substitutability.

“The productivity of human-made capital is more and more limited by the decreasing supply of complementary natural capital. Of course, in the past, when the scale of the human presence in the biosphere was low, human-made capital played the limiting role. The switch from human-made to natural capital as the limiting factor is thus a function of the increasing scale and impact of the human presence. Natural capital is the stock that yields the flow of natural resources – the forest that yields the flow of cut timber; the petroleum deposits that yield the flow of pumped crude oil; the fish populations in the sea that yield the flow of caught fish. The complementary nature of natural and human-made capital is made obvious by asking: what good is a sawmill without a forest?”



Then in the subsequent sub-heading, Policy Implications of the Turning Point, these crucial points follow:



Pgs. 96/97

“Natural capital productivity is increased by: (1) increasing the flow (net growth) of natural resources per unit of natural stock (limited by biological growth rates); (2) increasing product output per unit of resource input (limited by mass balance); and especially by (3) increasing the end-use efficiency with which the resulting product yields services to the final user (limited by technology). We have already argued that complementarity severely limits what we should expect from (2), and complex ecological interrelations and the law of conservation of matter-energy limits the increase from (1). Therefore, the ecological economics focus should be mainly on (3).”

And important qualification of these points appears a bit further into this same sub-heading:

Pgs. 99/100

“Once investments in natural capital have resulted in equilibrium stocks that are maintained but not expanded (yielding a constant total resource flow), then all further increases in economic welfare would have to come from increases in pure efficiency resulting from improvements in technology and clarification of priorities. Certainly investments are being made in increasing biological growth rates, and the advent of genetic engineering may add greatly to this thrust. However, experience to date (e.g., the green revolution) indicates that higher biological yield rates usually require the sacrifice of some other useful quality (disease resistance, flavor, strength of stalk). In any case, the law of conservation of matter-energy cannot be evaded by genetics: more food from a plant or animal implies either more inputs or less matter-energy going to the non-food structures and functions of the organism (Cleveland 1994). To carry the arguments for infrastructure investments into the area of biophysical/environmental infrastructure or natural capital replenishment will require new thinking by development economists.”



While the allusion to genetic engineering in this last passage, and the cautionary explanatory provisos associated with them, begin to approach the greater nuance needed for properly understanding the demanding and highly non-trivial set of implications gravitating around the very important subject of tech-fixes, and whether the techno-optimist hope that these will be sufficient in themselves to ‘save us’ ecologically is justified or not, the broader technology horizon goes so far beyond the genetic examples given, and so greatly further displaces the directness of the complementarity between human-made capital and the natural capital resources which may be its inputs, the need for clarification is not quite satisfied. Much to the credit of this exceptionally good book, however, several additional passages a bit further on take us in the right direction.



Sub-heading 3.3.2, tellingly entitled in the interrogative, Can Built Capital Substitute for Natural Capital? , starts:



“The main issue is the relation between natural capital, which yields a flow of natural resources and services that enter the process of production, and the human-made capital that serves as an agent in the process for transforming the resource inflow into a product outflow. Is the flow of natural resources (and the stock of natural capital that yields that flow) substitutable by human-made capital? Clearly, one resource can substitute for another – we can transform aluminum instead of copper into electric wire. . . . However, when we come to substitution across the roles of transforming agent and material undergoing transformation (efficient cause and material cause), the possibilities of substitution become very limited and the characteristic of complementarity is dominant.”



Deeply incisive, important, and succinct as this passage otherwise is, the final sentence falls victim to a major oversight relating to “the possibilities of substitution”. At the scientific frontiers, research and development is rife with the most profound implications for “the main issue” which this passage correctly identifies. But at that frontier, defining the category of “natural capital” may require crucial modification at a much more fundamental level, and going beyond reliance on the familiar, manifest flora and fauna examples such as stocks of fish or timber referenced in this book. The actual physical matter at this frontier – the material cause, and in these cases generally comprised of elements from the periodic table that are among the most basic and abundant on the planet – presents not so much a case or instance of being transformed from the manifestly macroscopic living state in which it may have been embodied and preexisting as ‘natural capital’ in the raw state of nature. At this frontier, it is matter at the atomic, molecular and mesoscopic scales that is being composed by bottom-up accretion – a blend of material, efficient and formal cause –rather than transformed by means of bulk top-down subtractive milling, lathing, grinding, stamping, etc. typical of conventionally understood industrial capital instruments, to satisfy desired physical properties; in many cases, properties which may not even exist in any familiar macroscopic sources of ‘natural capital’, per se, at all and are, therefore, beyond any prospectively viable top-down material transformation at all; clearly a distinction much more than merely a semantic quibble. And this is before even invoking the potential compositional variations of biomimetic, synthetic biological and related methods. Further, any thought that such capabilities are limited to genetics, per se, would be, at this juncture in the expanse of the R&D universe, virtually quaint; we are talking material science, writ large; chemistry, biochemistry, lattice, mesoscopic (and other) physics, photonics, metamaterials, de novo protein, catalytic and enzymatic design, spintronic. plasmonic and topological states of matter, certainly genetics, of course, and others.



Perhaps the ultimate hypothetical example of the intended distinction between natural capital resource input transformation via conventionally envisioned human-built industrial capital in the intuitive, traditional sense which the characterizations in this book invoke, as distinct from resource input composition, was articulated by K. Eric Drexler in his now famous 1986 book, Engines of Creation , and his vision for molecular assemblers; i.e., distinguishing between conventionally understood top-down machine/capital modification of bulk matter into end products, versus the design of bottom-up atomic, molecular and mesoscopic processes of composition into end processes and/or products. And while the full realization of the kind of actual molecular assemblers initially proposed, and repeatedly clarified and justified by Dr. Drexler to be, in principle, perfectly scientifically viable since 1986, remain on the R&D horizon, the chorus of those inclined to dismiss their ultimate realization as science fiction continues to dwindle in light of the kind of adjacent advances represented by the work of the following very limited sampling of researchers; some of which may complement and contribute to what may well be multiple paths toward realizing Drexler’s vision, and which has now become more generally known as atomically precise manufacturing, or APM.

See:

- Professor Omar Yaghi and Reticular Chemistry: https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acscentsci.9b00750 #



- Professor Christian Schafmeister and Spiroligomers: https://www.schafmeistergroup.com/



- Professor Frances Arnold and Evolutionary Protein Design: http://fhalab.caltech.edu/



- Professor David Baker and Protein Design: https://www.bakerlab.org/



- Professor Chad Mirkin and Nanomaterial Design: https://mirkin-group.northwestern.edu/people/chad-mirkin/



- Professor Donald Ingber and Biologically Inspired Engineering: https://wyss.harvard.edu/



- Professor Hao Yan and Molecular Design and Biomimetics: https://biodesign.asu.edu/molecular-design-and-biomimetics/





While these transitional technologies, or even the eventual optimal realization of the Drexler vision of APM, do not, of course, dissolve mass balance or the conservation of matter-energy rightly emphasized by ecological economists, what they are very likely to do is to profoundly alter production process profiles with respect to a whole raft of important considerations including: properly understanding natural capital input substitutability, complementarity, degree of complementarity, and specificity, with respect to an accurate calculation of the Inada condition and Hicksian income, with respect to diminished energy use, diminished waste stream generation, increased circularity potential, with respect to gaining greater clarity about when and where it is appropriate to extend the depreciation concept to natural capital, and with respect to the profuse efflorescent potential of end product variability and differentiation. All of these and, of course, the crucial issue of rebound effects, portend that the policy implications for ecological economics may be extremely significant. How significant?



A few pages after the last excerpt quoted above, the authors pose this central and summary question: “To what extent can we substitute manufactured for natural capital, and how much of our natural capital is irreplaceable?” Well, in 2020, McKinsey & Company published a report which sought to actually answer exactly the first of those two questions.

(See: https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/life-sciences/our-insights/the-bio-revolution-innovations-transforming-economies-societies-and-our-lives?utm_source=pocket_saves .)



Answer? Even though the report is focused on only the biological and, importantly, is not inclusive of the range of other scientific domains just noted above where comparable developments are occurring, their conclusion was, “As much as 60 percent of the physical inputs to the global economy”, with “A pipeline of about 400 use cases, almost all scientifically feasible today,” which they designated as “already visible”. Clearly, the long term opportunity for dramatically reducing the impacts associated with considering answers for the second part of that dual question may be stunning. And apparent corroboration of this analytic assessment comes from what has begun to occur not merely in the investor community - perhaps most aggressively exemplified by Schmidt Ventures: https://www.schmidtfutures.com/our-work/task-force-on-synthetic-biology-and-the-bioeconomy/ - but also at the level of federal government policy evaluation.



These considerations also suggest an additional, and very important clarifying take-away demanding emphasis related to a passage appearing a few pages further into this book.



(Page 131):

“But natural capital is also very different from built capital. First of all, built capital is made from natural capital. In other words, nature can exist without built capital, but built capital cannot exist without nature. There is an essential hierarchy limiting the extent to which built capital can substitute for natural capital, and they are better thought of as complements than substitutes.”



Since those words were published not quite ten years ago, however, what has become increasingly evident is that the degree of difference asserted in this passage between the two forms of capital are being profoundly blurred at the scientific and technological frontier, rendering the salience of a continued insistence on a hard line of demarcation increasingly problematic for informing policy. In other words, as long as the mental model which ecological economics relies on conceives of production processes strictly in terms whereby natural capital inputs to human-built capital are defined only as top-down, subtractive transformations from bulk objects of the natural world – living or otherwise - into some finished form of output product, then accurately defining the essential hierarchy just posited will be misconstrued by missing the true, broader scientific and practical significance of the revolutionary bottom-up compositional production capabilities now becoming manifest. Getting this wrong puts at risk the absolutely vital mission of getting ecological economics right, so that its very important insights and broad prescriptions may properly inform policies about what and where the real limits do exist for input-output scenarios, for evaluation of, and distinguishing between growth versus development scenarios and, ultimately, for informing the conception of robust, adaptive institutional forms needed to sustain true sustainability.



A further step toward realizing that mission is also very well served by an important recent paper by German economist, Stefan Mockel, of the UFZ Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, and published through PLOS Sustainability and Transformation; see:

https://journals.plos.org/sustainabilitytransformation/article?id=10.1371/journal.pstr.0000095



In the context of this webinar, the comments it has elicited here, and as suggested in my previous blog written in support of the Snower/Wilson paper seeking to redefine the foundations of economics cited above, the importance of truly recognizing and confronting the money-nature nexus addressed in this paper by Dr. Mockel could hardly be overstated since there is likely no way of doing so that would not entail deep institutional modification reflecting the kind of broad integration which would transcend just economics, per se, precisely because of the imperative that it be integrative systemically, in the broader sense; in other words, in the parlance of the IPCC, “it is clear now that minor, marginal, reactive or incremental changes won’t be sufficient.” Another perspective on the importance of this money-nature nexus theme was offered by noted, indeed, perhaps the ‘father’ of modern ecological economics, Herman Daly, in the following 2013 essay in which he asked and answered the question, ‘is there a better way’.

(See: https://steadystate.org/nationalize-money-not-banks/?utm_source=pocket_saves )



Perhaps analogous to the politically fatal ‘third rail’ danger often ascribed to any proposal perceived to subject the Social Security program in the U.S. to existential jeopardy, the conspicuous and nearly total policy silence which wreaths this subject in spite of how deeply fulcral it is to truly systemic change, may well be a tacit, subliminal admission of political and administrative terror at the prospect of taking on something so fundamental; in effect, of daring to venture into theoretical and institutional territory presumed reminiscent of medieval oceanic maps demarcating horizon boundaries beyond which all that could be said is that here ‘there be dragons’. And what be the ‘dragons’ beyond this conceptual and institutional horizon? Any such truly systemically integrated money-nature-nexus institutional modifications that are inclusive of the defining criteria and metrics of ecological economics will, if history and hierarchy theory is any guide, almost certainly compel corollary revisions to legal criteria defining corporate charters and incentives, with obvious implications for the nature of anti-trust and other related administrative regulatory issues explored by Ms. Hearn and professor Wilson in this webinar; in effect, a stirring of the hornets nest of imminent political and incumbent commercial power plays over whose ‘ox’ is likely to be gored by taking seriously the need to institutionally embody truly systemic operational economic/ financial/monetary criteria consistent with the multi-level selection theory imperative to make the conscious unit of selection at the global level. If so, again, Ms. Hearn’s invocation of the term ‘profound’ during her talk seems highly appropriate; not least because – whether correct or not – what seems implied may be perceived as tantamount to the proverbial case of building a new supersonic airliner while in mid-flight.



And holding that analogy in mind may provide the ideal segue for circling back to the aspiration expressed at the outset of these comments to conclude by venturing some suggestions for what might be ‘next steps’ worthy of serious consideration by Human Energy and the Evolution Institute as a sustained follow-on initiative to the recent inaugural Noosphere Masterclass.



Whatever else realizing an inspired and dynamically positive Noosphere may entail in ascending toward the upper tiers of the Maslow hierarchy, certainly one very fundamental sine qua non requirement will be the kind of systemic integration of ecological economics into our global institutional forms and governance processes just suggested. Where and how doing this overlaps with precisely the broader palette of higher social factors implicated in the emerging Noosphere suggests a most compelling ‘next steps’ opportunity for Human Energy and the Evolution Institute. Specifically, ecological economics is also deeply implicated in the growing consideration being given globally to alternatives to GDP as an indicator of a.) economic welfare, and more broadly, b.) human well being and total human welfare; a theme which even the introductory text on the subject cited at some length several times above goes on to devote considerable space to developing and illuminating. And as a complement, this recent YouTube presentation both corroborates its significance, provides a sense of some of the UN and other participants, and offers a glimmer of how much room remains for solution proposals which expand the scope of transdisciplinarity on the basis of which to provide them.

(See: https://www.youtube.com/live/0ZP6Dr4POEo?si=HzJDQ0TUg26fWjuZ )



In short, there is a very strong case to be made that there may be few, if any, better ways to serve facilitating the instantiation of the foundational conditions required for a Noosphere of mutually reinforcing virtuous cycles than this.



As such, Human Energy and the Evolution Institute would be providing an invaluable public service to consider jointly sponsoring, organizing and mediating recurring conferences – perhaps annually or bi-annually – with invited guests representing a highly transdisciplinary array of expertise to generally explore a.) most effective paths for such systemic integration and, more specifically, b.) needed institutional innovations to embody these. The ‘deliverable’ objective of the conferences would be summary guides meant to inform both policy makers and the wider public. And perhaps most importantly, this would offer an ideal venue to incorporate something which receives far too little consideration, but which was a key point of emphasis in this very important recent paper by Anders Sandberg (Oxford Univ.) and co-author, Len Fisher: A Safe Governance Space for Humanity: Necessary Conditions for the Governance of Global Catastrophic Risks .

(See: chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/ https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:ada8806a-c6de-4807-9683-06f3d4d06f5d/files/r2227mq26s )



While there is a great deal in this paper to recommend attention and justify elaborating or qualifying comment – perhaps especially the cautionary references to the influence of reflexivity – emphasizing the process nature of the three enabling conditions to “facilitate transition to the new form of governance” cited in the paper’s Conclusions would be highly justified for inclusion in the exploration agenda of the kind of conferences being suggested. And of these three, the first - “‘bridging organisations’ to connect governance levels and spatial and temporal scales” – might be the most crucial. Why?



Throughout these comments, repeated reference has been made to what is, effectively (if tacitly), an institutionally embodied categorical political priority and operational deference accorded by State power to an economic/financial/monetary system which ‘bakes in’ a socioeconomic dependence on perpetual growth. The fact that this deference has persisted for over four hundred years, the fact that it continues to persist in contravention of the sobering reality, voiced with increasingly confident scientific warnings, that we are now confronted with existential threats directly related to the compounding feedback impacts arising from the diffuse and myriad systemic tentacles which embody this deference, is reflective of the absence of precisely something like ‘bridging organizations’; in this context, particularly the absence of a meta-organization which would serve the function of on-going oversight of the prevailing institutional infrastructure to assess whether it remains consistent with the broad public interest in planetary sustainability. Indeed, merely pointing out such an absence with the suggestion that this constitutes a serious flaw in the system of governance might seem, at least, surprising and, perhaps, heretical. Given this, it is worth briefly pausing here to interject two passages from the book, Digital Disconnect , by professor Robert. W. McChesney, that could scarcely be more on point.



In the first he notes: “C.B. Macpherson was among the first to grasp how a duopolistic party system in a modern capitalist society like the United States will tend to provide a “competition between elites”, which “formulate the issues”. The basics of the political economy are agreed upon by the two parties and are off the table for public debate or discussion .” (Emphasis added.) In the second, emphasizing a key responsibility of the journalistic Fourth Estate deeply relevant to our next point, he observes: “Such journalism addresses not only the transitory concerns of the moment, but also challenges that loom on the horizon. It must translate important scientific issues accurately into lay language. These issues cannot be determined primarily by what people in power are talking about. (Emphasis added.) Journalism must provide the nation’s early warning system, so problems can be anticipated, studied, debated, and addressed before they grow to crisis proportions.”



Not only do these passages – and especially those in bold/italic emphasis – highlight why our current governance structures are so problematic precisely for their absence of such a meta-organizational oversight function, and for the blind, relentless momentum of the economic status quo that it locks us into, but they also beg this question. Does history provide any guidance or examples where such oversight was not absent? Fortunately, though few may be aware of it - and with thanks, yet again, to ancient Greece - there is a relevant precedent.



In striving to decisively debunk the fallacious but common misconception that ancient Athenian democracy was a form of direct citizen – as opposed to representative – democracy, Yale University political science professor, Helene Landemore, offers this clarification in her very valuable book, Open Democracy: Reinventing Popular Rule for the Twenty-First Century:



“The main legislative institutions of Classical Athens were the Boule, or Council of 500; the Ekklesia, the People’s Assembly; the Nomothetai; and (in the fourth century BC) even the courts. The Council was a body of 500 citizens randomly selected among the willing and able. It was “ a linchpin institution that was given control of the vital agenda setting function for the meetings of the People’s Assembly ” (Ober 2008, 142; emphasis added) . . . The People’s Assembly, by contrast, was an open Assembly where up to 8000 citizens were able to gather in order to deliberate and vote about the Council’s proposals.

“Assuming for now that the People’s Assembly can legitimately count as an institution of direct democracy, this assembly was thus largely dependent on agenda-setting by the Council of 500 . According to Josiah Ober, the institution of the randomly selected council was in fact the key institution in Greek democracy and may even have been more central to the Greek’s concept of democracy than the Assembly (Ober 1997 and 2008; emphasis added).”



In light of such a compelling precedent, of governance structures designed to invest the fundamental agenda-setting (oversight) function in the hands of the people, and so carefully conceived to do so in a truly democratic manner, perhaps what should now seem surprising, or even heretical, are current structures where such a function is either absent or where the system is left undemocratically in a position of decision dependence only on “what people in power are talking about”; dependence on a “ “competition between elites”, which “formulate the issues”, and where “The basics of the political economy are agreed upon by the two parties and are off the table for public debate or discussion.” In contrast, with the Athenian Boule, in principle, there is conceptually clearly no reason that “the basics of the political economy” would be precluded from being very much on the table “for public debate or discussion” if conditions emerged which might make this appropriate for evaluation. This is obviously what it means to be authentically in the service of the broader public interest, as opposed to merely serving the interests reflected in “what people in power are talking about”.



Returning to the present, exploring whether there are, indeed, emergent conditions which might justify placing exactly such meta-institutional evaluation center stage for purposes of “public debate or discussion”, presents an embarrassment of riches. Just two examples closely related to the dynamics of the money-nature nexus problem, and having quite profound policy and institutional implications, are presented in the following recent and very important papers:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800923003130

https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms14389



In light of a multitude of revelations about major commercial/oil interests having concealed and purposefully lied for decades about their knowledge of the virtually inevitable ecological consequences from continued use of fossil fuels, of revelations about how these same interests opened the funding spigots for Congressional lobbying to purchase inertia and inaction, often predicated on the phony-science propaganda output of bogus think tank front groups, it seems far from wild speculation to imagine that impartial citizens comprising a modern instantiation of the agenda-setting function provided by the Athenian Boule would assess the broader public interest implications of papers such as these, and what policy and/or institutional restructuring response those interests might warrant serious evaluation of, very differently than our existing ‘democratic’ institutions are willing or equipped to provide; especially since the chances are unfortunately far beyond remote that papers of such substance and moment as these would ever receive “public debate or discussion” by our current severely compromised institutions to begin with. Hence, the great potential value of the conferences being suggested here. These would have the effect of serving notice to politicians of dubious devotion to the real public interest, that the public is increasingly ‘wise’ to what is being kept “ off the table for public debate or discussion” ; including the “ basics of the political economy ”, as well as the very structural design of our governance institutions; neither of which warrants any default deference to be held as sacrosanct and beyond possible modification if the true governance objective is service to what is the ultimate broader public interest of living sustainably within scientifically defined planetary boundaries. But they might also have the more affirmative salutary effective of inspiring more people of higher calling and sense of public service to seek representative office, and amplify a broader public zeitgeist where more of the citizenry would enthusiastically embrace opportunities to participate in deliberative democratic fora as these continue to become more and more pervasive. But the latter hopeful prospect also raises an important point. First, the spirit of precisely such a zeitgeist is already evident in the proliferation of countless grassroots efforts to exercise constructive agency by citizens all over the world. It would, however, be an error to infer that the groundswell of these important and necessary public actions constitute a sufficient substitute for structurally and conceptually deep institutional innovations which would further facilitate their ultimate success.



To readers for whom such considerations renew frustrations and disappointments with the United Nations for failing to provide precisely the kind of visionary meta-organizational evaluation being suggested here for Human Energy and the Evolution Institute, there is actually hopeful news. The following links introduce the scheduled U.N. Summit of the Future, scheduled for September, 2024. And similar to the suggestion here that the proposed Human Energy/Evolution Institute conferences be recurring, as the following Carnegie Endowment discussion specifies, this U.N. initiative is not intended to be a single, one-off event; something which, it could be strongly argued, could present recurring Human Energy/Evolution Institute conferences of the type proposed here with a serious opportunity to be a complementary, or perhaps even a guiding resource for and partner with the Summit(s) of the Future.

https://www.youtube.com/live/T1s2qgM_kx0?si=kgRW6uaTYcg852sH

https://www.un.org/en/common-agenda/summit-of-the-future



That said, this may be the most propitious point to conclude these comments.



Before doing so by invoking several concluding passages from the excellent book, An Introduction to Ecological Economics , cited several times above, offering a few suggestions for conference attendees whose expertise might otherwise be overlooked may be constructive. Though perhaps understood, all of the authors, scientists and scholars already cited in these comments would be high priority choices. Further, clearly the extensive personal and professional networks of most of the key founders and advisors with Human Energy and the Evolution Institute, will be a rich source of attendee expert candidates.



- Economist Steve Keen . Professor Keen has long been an incisive, vociferous and even ruthless critic of the deeply flawed logic and dangers of Neoclassical economics. A major reason for his sense of urgency and mission may be best intimated with this passage from his recent book, The New Economics: A Manifesto : “I can say only one thing in favor of the work by Neoclassical economists on climate change: it is so bad that, once it becomes obvious how serious a threat climate change is, revulsion at how Neoclassical economists have trivialized the dangers may finally lead to the overthrow of Neoclassical economics itself.” Then, as synopsis of his more general critique of the Neoclassical paradigm, he observes: “That, in essence, is the Neoclassical disease: treating something that any outside observer would regard as a fantasy as a ‘simplifying assumption’, and asserting that the fantasy cannot be questioned when one challenges the resulting model. Economics abounds in such fantastical assumptions because of the problem outlined in the first chapter: economics has, time and time again, been subject to paradigm-challenging anomalies, but rather than accepting the challenge, economists have responded by making ridiculous assumptions to shield the paradigm from criticism.”



- Robert Ashford, Syracuse University professor of Corporate Law . Professor Ashford’s mastery of the theoretically distinctive conceptual foundations of binary economics, and their profound implications for rationalizing the design of institutions with the real promise, over time, of universalizing citizen ownership of productive capital assets without recourse to either transfer-state redistribution schemes or confiscatory tax or other claims on existing asset owners, is unparalleled. His insights and understanding also have profound implications for resolving the challenge of how to finance the transition to a ‘green’ capital base; something presenting almost insuperable difficulties under the ownership-concentrating ‘rules of the game’ of conventional finance.



- Poe Yu-Ze Wan, Sociology professor at the National Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan . Why his participation would be recommended will likely be self-evident with even a cursory review of his important paper, Systems Theory: Irredeemably Holistic and Antithetical to Planning?, and related book, Reframing the Social: Emergentist Systemism and Social Theory .



- Andrew W. Lo, MIT professor of Finance . Beyond mere expertise in finance, the creative and innovative accomplishments of professor Lo in developing the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis, and its potential relevance if/when applied in a context of institutional innovation to enable ecological economics, should perhaps most recommend his invitation to participate. https://mitsloan.mit.edu/faculty/directory/andrew-w-lo



- J. Doyne Farmer . Leading complexity theorist and researcher, formerly with the Santa Fe Institute, founding entrepreneur with the Prediction Company, and currently at Oxford University, the April 2024 release of his new book, Making Sense of Chaos: A Better Economics for a Better World , promises to be a very substantive addition to the literature. https://www.doynefarmer.com/book



- Alex Pentland, MIT Computer/Data Scientist with a long resume of innovation and extensive affiliations; perhaps most importantly in this context, as a Board member with the U.N. Foundations’ Global Partnership for Sustainable Development.



- Thomas Homer-Dixon, founding Director of The Cascade Institute and author with extensive expertise in system-dynamics modes of analysis. As stated here - https://cascadeinstitute.org/ - the mission of Mr. Homer-Dixon and this Institute could scarcely be more ideally suited to the objective of the conferences proposed here.



- Mariana Mazzucato, economist and founding Director of the UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose . https://marianamazzucato.com/ Professor Mazzucato’s important work debunking the misapprehension that entrepreneurial value creation and the State are inherently mutually exclusive, that social and economic policy are dramatically improved when the economic system is understood to have both an extent and a direction, and her extensive experience in advising policy makers on both – often in a context coupled with institutional innovation - would be invaluable in the kind of conferences being proposed here.



IN CONCLUSION:



Given the purpose of these comments stated at the outset, the choice to conclude with the additional passages below from the book cited several times earlier, An Introduction to Ecological Economics, will likely be quickly evident. The choice is then reinforced with the prospect of possible collaboration between the proposed Human Energy/ Evolution Institute conferences with the U.N. Summit of the Future. And this very recent paper published in PLOS Sustainability and Transformation may be considered a useful complement:

https://journals.plos.org/sustainabilitytransformation/article?id=10.1371/journal.pstr.0000098



- pg. 76: “The co-evolutionary perspective helps us see that the problem of humans interacting with their environment is not simply a matter of establishing market incentives or appropriate rules about the use of property. Our values, knowledge, and social organization have co-evolved around fossil hydrocarbons. Our fossil fuel-driven economy has not simply transformed the environment, it has selected for individualist, materialist values, favored the development of reductionist understanding at the expense of systemic understanding, and preferred a bureaucratic, centralized form of control that works better for steady-state industrial management than for the varied, surprising dynamics of ecosystem management. And the co-evolutionary framing highlights how our abilities to perceive and resolve environmental problems within the dominant modes of valuing, thinking, and organizing are severely constrained.”



- pg. 88

“The transdisciplinary view provides an overarching coherence that can tie disciplinary knowledge together and that can address the increasingly important problems that cannot be addressed within the disciplinary structure. In this sense, ecological economics is not an alternative to any of the existing disciplines. Rather it is a new way of looking at the problem that can add value to the existing approaches and that can address some of the deficiencies of the disciplinary approach. It is not a question of “conventional economics” versus “ecological economics” but rather conventional economics as one input (among many) to a broader transdisciplinary synthesis.

“We believe that this transdisciplinary way of looking at the world is essential if we are to achieve the three interdependent goals of ecological economics discussed here: sustainable scale, fair distribution, and efficient allocation. This requires the integration of three elements: (1) a practical, shared vision of the way the world works and of the sustainable society we wish to achieve; (2) methods of analysis and modeling that are relevant to the new questions and problems this vision embodies, and (3) new institutions and instruments that can effectively use the analyses to adequately implement the vision.

“The importance of the integration of these three components cannot be overstated. Too often when discussing practical applications, we focus only on the implementation element, forgetting that an adequate vision of the world and our goals is often the most practical device for achieving the vision, and that without appropriate methods of analysis even the best vision can be blinded. The importance of communication and education concerning all three elements also cannot be overstated.

“The basic points of consensus in the ecological economics vision are as follows:

1.) The vision of the Earth as a thermodynamically closed and non-materially growing system, with the human economy as a subsystem of the global ecosystem. This implies that there are limits to biophysical throughput of resources from the ecosystem, through economic subsystem, and back to the ecosystem as wastes.

2.) The future vision of a sustainable planet with a high quality of life for all its citizens (humans and other species) within the material constraints imposed by 1.

3.) The recognition that in the analysis of complex systems such as the Earth at all space and time scales, fundamental uncertainty is large and irreducible and certain processes are irreversible, requiring a fundamentally precautionary stance.

4.) That institutions and management should be proactive rather than reactive and should result in simple, adaptive, and implementable policies based on a sophisticated understanding of the underlying systems that fully acknowledge the underlying uncertainties. This forms the basis for policy implementation, which is itself sustainable.

5.) The last point is conceptually pluralistic. This means that even while people writing in ecological economics were trained in a particular discipline (and may prefer that mode of thinking over others), they are open to an appreciation of other modes of thinking and actively seek a constructive dialogue among disciplines (Norgaard 1989). There is not one right approach or model because, like the blind men and the elephant, the subject is just too big and complex to touch all of it with one limited set of perceptual or computational tools.”

Page 91:

Priority of Problems . The problems of efficient allocation, fair distribution, and sustainable scale are highly interrelated but distinct; they are most effectively solved in a particular priority order, and they are best solved with independent policy instruments (Daly 1992). There are an infinite number of efficient allocations but only one for each distribution and scale. Allocative efficiency does not guarantee sustainability (Bishop 1993). It is clear that scale should not be determined by prices but by a social decision reflecting ecological limits. Distribution should not be determined by prices but by a social decision reflecting a just distribution of assets. Subject to these social decisions, individualistic trading in the market is then able to allocate the scarce rights efficiently. . . .

“The prices that measure the opportunity costs of reallocation are unrelated to measures of the opportunity costs of redistribution or of a change in scale. Any trade-off among the three goals (e.g., an improvement in distribution in exchange for a worsening in scale or allocation, or more unequal distribution in exchange for sharper incentives seen as instrumental to more efficient allocation) involves an ethical judgment about the quality of our social relations rather than a willingness-to-pay calculation. The contrary view, that this choice among basic social goals and the quality of social relations that help to define us as persons should be made on the basis of individual willingness-to-pay, just as the trade-off between chewing gum and shoelaces is made, seems to be dominant in economics today, and it is part of the retrograde modern reduction of all ethical choices to the level of personal tastes weighted by income.

“It is instructive to consider the historical attempt of the scholastic economists to subsume distribution under allocation (or more likely they were subsuming allocation under distribution – at any rate they did not make the distinction). This was the famous “just price” doctrine of the Middle Ages that has been totally rejected in economic theory, although it stubbornly survives in the politics of minimum wages, farm price supports, water and electric power subsidies, and so forth. However, we do not, as a general rule, try to internalize the external cost of distributive injustice into market prices. We reject the attempt to correct market prices for their unwanted effects on income distribution. Economists nowadays keep allocation and distribution quite separate, and they argue for letting prices serve only efficiency, while serving justice with the separate policy of transfers. This follows Tinbergen’s dictum of equality of policy goals and instruments: one instrument for each policy. The point is that just as we cannot subsume distribution under allocation, neither can we subsume scale under allocation.
“It seems clear, then, that we need to address the problems in the following order: first, establish the ecological limits of sustainable scale and establish policies that assure that the throughput of the economy stays within these limits. Second, establish a fair and just distribution of resources using systems of property right and transfers. The property right systems can cover the full spectrum from individual to government ownership, but intermediate systems of common ownership and systems for dividing the ownership of resources into ownership of particular services need much more attention (Young 1992). Third, once the scale and distribution problems are solved, market-based mechanisms can be used to allocate resources efficiently. This involves extending the existing market to internalize the many environmental goods and services that are currently outside the market.”



- pg. 7: “Since the Club of Rome’s 1972 “Limits to Growth,” the emphasis has shifted from source limits to sink limits. Source limits are more open to substitution, are more amenable to private ownership, and are more localized. Consequently, they are more amenable to control by markets and prices. Sink limits involve common property where markets fail. Since 1972, the case has substantially strengthened so that there are limits to throughput growth on the sink side (Meadows et al. 1992; Randers 2012). Some of these limits are tractable and are being tackled, such as the CFC (chlorofluorocarbon) phaseout under the Montreal Convention. Other limits are less tractable, such as increasing CO2 emissions and the massive human appropriation of biomass. Another example is landfill sites, which are becoming extremely difficult to find. Garbage is now shipped thousands of miles from industrial to developing countries in search of unfilled sinks. It has so far proved impossible for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission to rent a nuclear waste site.”


- pgs. 50: “To bring a system into equilibrium, negative feedbacks are needed. Economics helps us see how biodiversity is decreasing because so few genetic traits, species, or ecosystems have market prices, the negative feedback signals that equilibrate market economies. In market systems, prices increase to reduce the quantity demanded when supplies are low and prices drop to increase the quantity demanded when supplies are high, keeping demand and supply in equilibrium. The problem, economists argue, is that most genetic traits, species, and ecosystems are being lost because they do not have prices acting as a negative feedback system to keep use in equilibrium with availability. When individuals of the species become fewer, increasing price to decrease quantity is not an option. By putting economic values on species and including them in market signals through various ways would reduce biodiversity loss. Furthermore, the economic explanation and solution is systemic. . . .

“Biologists also find the idea that we need to know the economic values of species compatible with their own understanding that if the true value of species to society were understood, more species would be conserved. Clearly, if we knew the value of biological resources, we would be in a better position to manage them more effectively. And, to the extent these values could be included in the market system, markets themselves could assist in the conservation of biodiversity. The situation can frequently be improved through amending market signals. At the same time, it is important to remember that market values only exist within a larger system of values, which for many people include the preservation of nature for ethical or religious reasons (Sagoff 1988).”


- pg. 51: “Although several techniques for estimating the value of the environment are proving interesting, valuation is by no means an easy task and estimates should be used cautiously. A major difficulty is related to the systemic nature of economics, ecosystems, and the process of environmental degradation. Market systems relate everything to everything else. For example, when the price of oil changes, it causes the price of gasoline to change, which causes the demand and hence the price of products that use gasoline, such as automobiles, to change, which causes the demand for and hence the price of coal to change, and so on. Prices bring markets to equilibrium and their flexibility is essential to this task. Similarly, the “right” price for a given species or ecosystem will depend on the availability of a host of other species or ecosystems with which they are interdependent as well as with other species and ecosystems that may be substitutes or complements in use. To think that a species or ecosystem has a single value is to deny ecosystem and economic system interconnections. Nevertheless, environmental valuation can assist us in understanding at least the minimal importance of ecological services and in conveying this understanding to the public to improve the political process of finding common ground.”

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Before going directly to the case-in-point example cited at the end of Part 1 of this blog – HERE IS THE PROBLEM - it might be useful to first set the stage for the example to be provided with a context that is both historical and conceptual. Doing so may be illuminating in its’ own rite, while also serving to 1.) diffuse possible incredulity that such political exclusionary reinforcement is anything more than illusory, 2.) showing how far from serving of the general public welfare misconstrued political ideology and factionalism can take us, and 3.) what terrible human cost in squandered opportunity and advancement these obscuring political constraints are capable of imposing.

 

It is well known that one of the two major political parties in the United States – supported by a veritable shadow quasi-government of ‘think tanks’ and their attending ranks of economists, analysts, and commentators - has and continues to espouse an adherence to “free markets” and “capitalism” expressed with a fervor usually reserved for the spiritual, and an emotional valence and unquestioning devotion bordering on theological fundamentalism. All exercised, in spite of us now being a full living generation since the downfall of the Soviet Union, with endless “red bating” invocations from a severely outworn lexicon of ill-defined but suitably emotionally hot-button trigger terms like “socialism” at the slightest hint of challenge to the fundamentalism which they swear to with such undying, chest-thumping allegiance.

 

The argument to be explored here is not that there is no justification for maintaining and defending a conviction that free market capitalism is, indeed, a very powerful construct, but that these more reflexively fervent advocates are guilty of having a dangerously naïve grasp, and perhaps even an utter failure to understand, just how nuanced and contextually conditional an appropriate understanding of these terms should be. And how replete such an understanding should be with cognizance of historical contingency of the most profound moment and consequence seems also generally lost on them.    

 

In fact, one often has the sense that many of the political operatives who love to polemically throw these hot button terms around during contentious policy debates think that all they need to know – if not that all there is to know – is that a British thinker/author in a powdered wig, and a contemporary of the generation of America’s governmental founders, once proclaimed that there is this ‘invisible hand’ fortuitously and continuously animating “the free market” to assure that the greatest social benefit is wondrously achieved when everyone is strictly pursuing their own selfish economic interest. (And on a purely political basis, it is also nearly sufficient to induce the disorientation of vertigo to realize how inept the competing political party is for failing not merely to challenge this, but to utterly eviscerate it as the virtually singular basis for policy decisions as it often seems to be. Perhaps it is merely that they are, like the proverbial deer, frozen motionless in the blinding on-rushing beam of such misplaced brazenness, and unable to believe that something as thin an over-simplification, if not outright misreading of Adam Smith as this, could seriously be relied upon for nine-tenths of the justification for important policy decisions as often seems to be the case on this basis. Whatever the reason, amazingly, it continues to go largely, if not entirely, unchallenged year after year, decade after decade.)

 

But if a competing party were going to at least begin to, if not outright challenge it  since there are highly contingent market conditions under which this simplified reading may at least approximate reality, at least properly qualify it, where might they consider starting? Even framing the question in this way already implicitly provides one of the numerous ways in which it might be very effectively answered: i.e. to qualify the “invisible hand” analogy by invoking the mountains of well-established scholarship which illuminates how profoundly contingent the conditions are which must be met for this analogy of a systemically completely endogenously self-equilibrating ‘invisible hand’ to be reasonably sound. The enumeration provided at the following link of necessary (and perhaps not even sufficient) conditions does provide an adequate sense of their extent to make any fairly thoughtful citizen wonder why every legislative hearing construed to address any policy having serious economic moment would not impose an a priori compulsion to start by asking whether a.) there actually is a market operative in the domain under consideration and, if so, then b.) how many of these conditions are satisfied and, finally, c.) to the extent that it fails to do so, is the market amenable to being modified to achieve satisfaction of these conditions.

 

https://www.cs.swarthmore.edu/~eroberts/cs91/projects/economic-pressures/conditions.htm                

 

And that final clause deserves further comment. Why? Many of those most in the blind theological embrace of “free market” ideology would probably be surprised by the phrasing; surprised at the suggestion that a market could be less than immaculate and fully formed at conception, less than divinely ordained and operating in total satisfaction of all criteria necessary to give them the perfect price-auction efficiency demanded to justify the theology. Why is this important? In tacit acknowledgement of the reality that markets may either simply not exist, or that they may be so attenuated in their satisfaction of these conditions for actually achieving endogenous, systemic self-equilibration as to barely warrant designation as markets, the Nobel Prize committee chose to award the 2012 prize for economics to scholars whose expertise lay in “the theory of stable allocations and the practice of market design ” (my emphasis added). In other words, truly effective and reasonably efficient markets are not necessarily either a.) even generic let alone universal, or b.) inherently perfect in their satisfaction of the conditions required to be in service of the greatest public welfare, ipso facto, by virtue merely of attaching to them the label, “the market”.

 

(2012 Nobel prize: Need for markets to be designed: https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2012/

 

These observations should provide some grounding for and illumination of why having a major political party too smug, cavalier, and self-assured in elevating the rhetorical and legislative insistence that the flawed presumption that the idealization of ‘the market’, generally, actually obtains, and that it’s claimed societal beneficence is so absolute that it uncritically and categorically deserves the status of incontestable theological doctrine is so problematic; both in its’ own rite, conceptually, and as a corner stone article of political faith that doing so is in the best interest of the greatest public welfare.

 

Based on these tremendously important qualifications of reality, and their far- reaching theoretical and practical implications, it would not seem too radical to expect that authentic representational service in the interest of the general public welfare would reflect them with respect to how economic policy proposals are conceived, and how analytic evaluation of those proposals is conducted. The extent to which our political processes deviate from what our governance processes should entail if this expectation of authentic service were not so egregiously violated in our current governmental reality may be a nearly ideal reflection of why our Founders may not have been so far afield in their cautionary forebodings about the dangers of political parties.    

 

This detour into the misguided economic presumptions of one of our major political parties – and instances of others prevailing for the competing political party might just as easily be presented as well – intersects with and returns us to the originally intended point of departure for this second blog entry: to provide an example of the dangerous ability of political parties to induce exclusionary reinforcement of such gross oversimplifications; and, in this instance, even reification to the ill-founded status of quasi-theological doctrine.

 

Whatever else the year 1958 might be remembered for, future historians may note that one of its’ most compelling claims to great importance lay in the publication of a now little remembered book: The Capitalist Manifesto, by Louis Kelso and Aristotelian philosopher, Mortimer Adler.

 

In the subsequent years, the ideas originally introduced in this watershed volume were refined, and none of them more importantly so than the fundamental concept of productiveness; a concept quite distinct from, but complementary with the more well-known, conventional economic concept of (usually defined labor-centrically) productivity. While the purpose here will only be to briefly focus on just three of the many wide-ranging, cross-disciplinary implications of this deeply important body of work, for those whose interest is sufficiently piqued to wish to explore it more fully, the two works most thorough in their treatment would be, Democracy and Economic Power: Extending the ESOP Revolution Through Binary Economics , by Louis O. Kelso and Patricia Hetter Kelso

 

(see: http://kelsoinstitute.org/louiskelso/downloadable-books/english/ ,

 

and Binary Economics: The New Paradigm , by Syracuse University professor of corporate law, Robert Ashford and his colleague, Rodney Shakespeare.

 

(See: https://www.amazon.com/Binary-Economics-Paradigm-Robert-Ashford/dp/0761813217/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1520506721&sr=8-1&keywords=binary+economics

 

To establish context for more fully unpacking the three very powerful implications of the productiveness concept alluded to above, the following brief definitions serve very well. They come from the wonderfully lucid essay by Professor Ashford, entitled, Louis Kelso’s Binary Economy .    

 

“Productivity is the ratio of the output of all factors of production, divided by the input of one factor, most usually labor. In contrast, productiveness may be thought of as total work done by each factor. In relative terms, it can be expressed as the percentage of total output attributable to the productive input of each independent factor .” (My emphasis added.)

 

                Since the productivity concept is so long standing we will assume pervasive familiarity and move on to provide an illustrating example of productiveness often used in the Binary literature. Again, Professor Ashford provides compelling clarity.

 

“To explore the concept of productiveness and its relationship to productivity and growth, assume that in a pre-tool age, a person could dig a hole in four hours by hand. After the invention of a shovel, she can dig the same hole in one hour. In traditional economic terms, she has four times the productivity because she can perform four times as much work in the same time period. In binary economic terms, the productiveness has changed from 100% labor before the invention of the shovel, to 25% labor and 75% capital after the employment of the shovel. In terms of producing the hole, the worker contributes only one-fourth as much productive input, so her labor productiveness per hole has been reduced to only one-fourth of its former value. Seventy-five percent of the worker’s former productiveness has been replaced by an equal amount of capital productiveness. Therefore, in this example, although capital may increase human productivity, more significantly, in binary terms, it replaces labor productiveness per unit of output .” (Emphasis in the original.)

 
It may be difficult to overstate the historic importance of the admittedly simply stated, but surprisingly subtle and far reaching breakthrough that is the inseparably related concepts of 1.) productiveness as illuminated above, and 2.) the corollary concept of the independent productiveness of capital. It is the conceptual and theoretical grounding provided by these breakthroughs which rationalize and legitimize the other two tenets of this new economic paradigm: the Binary Property Right of every citizen, and the predicted phenomenon of Binary Growth, which together, in turn, rationalize and legitimize the relatively modest but very far reaching proposed modifications of the legal, monetary and financial institutional infrastructure which flesh out the substance of this new paradigm, and empower it to actualize the three implications to be mentioned here.  

 

Although obviously having profound economic justice and social-stability implications as well, the first of the three implications to be emphasized here relates directly to the point made previously about what pre-conditions are necessary to actually realize an efficient market. It is somewhat ironic to note that our current financial markets, contrary to conventional wisdom, distinctly fail to satisfy the (near) universal-participation or low barrier-to-entry criteria for efficiency precisely because, in their unnecessary reliance for fulfilling the collateralization function associated with capital acquisition are almost entirely based on use of accumulated savings and, thereby, result in the profoundly exclusionary regime of productive capital ownership which long has, and continues to prevail. I will defer to the bibliographic references cited to address what the alternative is to this reliance on accumulations of past savings, but the result of this unnecessary and highly constraining dependence, to reiterate, is an extremely exclusionary and highly concentrated regime for ownership of productive capital assets, and the flow of compensation due to such assets. In other words, the irony stems from the fact that having the appearance of a hyper-efficient market based on fiber-optic-mediated, nano-second transaction speeds for trade execution in the secondary markets is far from synonymous with, or satisfaction of the universal-participation criteria necessary to make real efficiency in the macro-economy of the primary markets for true ownership of productive capital assets; a highly non-trivial qualification which raises very troubling questions about how something – though hidden in plain sight - this glaring and important manages to remain subject not merely to such conspicuous silence after sixty years, but conspicuous silence in spite of the successful and deep penetration throughout the American economy of the ESOP (Employee Stock Ownership Plan) mechanism for expanding ownership of productive capital assets. And even of those who may be familiar with what an ESOP is, few may realize that it is only one of roughly half-a-dozen related institutional innovations, based on the same deep, conceptual breakthroughs, which patiently await enabling legislative instantiation to extend, and ultimately universalize, substantive citizen ownership of productive capital assets far beyond just the corporate employees for whom the ESOP is designed, and systemically bringing us much closer to realization of the ideal of the kind of universal market participation required for anything like the endogenous self-equilibration ascribed to the “invisible hand” to be real.  In this sense, the economy is too important to leave to the economists, and far too important to leave to the politicians.

 

Closely related to the first implication of these breakthroughs just touched on, the second implication has something of a ‘ripped from the headlines’ quality about it. How so, and what headlines? The headlines and reports pertaining to the hand-wringing, and the understandably growing unease - from Uber drivers, paralegals, and home-care attendants, to corporate boardrooms and major governmental agencies - with the labor-displacing potential of deeply important technologies which have already begun to at least nudge their noses into the real economy, but are anticipated to do much more than just nudge in the not-too-distant future. This list is now well known: increasingly sophisticated and powerful computing – perhaps based on sublimely rarified technologies currently under laboratory development such as spintronics, plasmonics, topological insulators, artificial-atom quantum states, meta-materially-controlled photonics, memristors and others -  enabling machine learning and Artificial Intelligence unimaginably more capable than was considered possible only a few short years ago to mediate and iteratively improve not only functionally increasingly bio-mimetically flexible robotics, autonomous transportation, and material production, generally, from synthetic proteins to planetary colonization habitats, but also so dramatically augmenting the very process of discovery itself, that it raises serious questions about whether there exist adequate legal and institutional mechanisms of technology-transfer to actually realize and bring to market what is technically viable based on developmental principle. Yet amid all of these authentically dazzling wonders of productive potential, virtually the entire academic, social and political debate regarding the potentially vastly destabilizing human consequences on employment remains unimaginatively stuck in the anachronistic presumptions that the only policy options available for socially and economically addressing such displacements are some variation of existing labor-centric, Transfer-State, tax and re-distribution amelioration – often under the moniker of guaranteed income - and/or arbitrarily superficial toying with and sharing of the diminished hours of human labor which may remain economically viable. In spite of the fact and reality that there has been a conceptual breakthrough as rich in social and economic potential as some of these new technologies just cited are in their material, service and discovery potential, ‘sitting on the shelf’, as it were, for sixty years, the recognition that capital is independently productive, and that this fact and reality as embodied in these dazzling coming technologies theoretically and institutionally enables us to finally create an authentic economic democracy, instead of maintaining a financial and political plutocracy, by allowing us to universalize ownership of productive capital assets and their streams of income, remains subject to the conspicuous silence characteristic of the exclusionary reinforcements brought to us by political parties. This then brings us to the third and final of the important implications of these conceptual breakthroughs.

 

In his very important 2014 presentation before a gathering of SCORAI members (Sustainable Consumption Research and Action Initiative), MIT Professor and expert in Dynamic Systems analysis, John Sterman, manifested real courage by unequivocally stating that, in the final analysis, the ecological threat to our planet stems not from gradually choking and poisoning ourselves and our eco-systems to death with the usual pollution suspects - noting that these are merely symptoms – but that the ultimate locus of the threat lies in our persisting irrationality in believing and continuing to behave as if continual economic growth is possible on a planet having a finite carrying capacity without inviting a fatal collision between irresistible force and immovable object. The rest of his talk is then a succinct masterpiece of illumination of the various reasons, from a systems dynamics perspective, why that cannot continue, why the common assumption - and the flawed basis for most policy decisions - that technological advances, per se, will save us is mistaken, combined with an appeal that we need to find a way to voluntarily limit our consumption to diffuse the otherwise inevitability of that collision. In effect, the de facto, if tacit assertion of the talk was that we need to find a way to create an economy that remains within the planetary boundaries of that finite carrying capacity; an economy in a kind of Gaian homeostatic balance; a steady state. But there was one critical omission in Professor Sterman’s courageous and invaluable presentation which bears directly on the third important implication arising from the conceptual breakthrough of recognizing productiveness, and the independent productiveness of capital as new and distinct economic metrics of the highest order of significance. What was missing from Professor Sterman’s presentation was to explicitly identify what it is in the nature and current configuration of our economic system which underlies that continual growth; what the hidden driver of that growth is.

 

With the exception of a few remote but dwindling groups of aboriginal tribespeople and perhaps an even fewer number of Western survivalists, we are all dependent on a monetary medium of exchange to mediate the market transactions which economically and physically sustain us. Except for a very tiny percentage of the total, the well-spring source for creation of all of our money arises from the private banking systems issuing credit/loans, but then adding to the principal of those creations a variable burden of debt. The gap between those two imposes an incessant, ceaseless compulsion to drive/chase new economic growth to generate the resources necessary to enable the closure of that gap via resolution of that continually generated debt; this is the hidden driver omitted from Professor Sterman’s talk.

 

In other words, realization of an economic system compatible with anything like a Gaian homeostatic balance and steady state demands as a basis for money creation something other than this endless cycle of debt creation. What makes the concept/ corollary of productiveness and the independent productiveness of capital so important in this context, is that they rationalize and enable a financial regime where money creation is coupled not to malignantly and endlessly iterative new debt creation, but is backed instead by the creation of productive capital assets if/when those make sense. Setting aside some interesting possibilities associated with the emerging domain of crypto-currencies, by providing for conditionally contingent money creation, rather than compulsory debt/growth creation, such a productive-asset-backed monetary regime – coupled with the democratizing of its’ ownership and income streams so people cease to be utterly dependent on the sale of their ever less economically competitive labor - is at least complementary with the possibility of an economy no longer compelled to grow regardless of planetary boundaries; is at least complementary with the possibility of a Gaian homeostatic balance and steady state. Though such a decoupling of the monetary system from debt creation, and the critical decoupling of income and compensation almost exclusively coming from labor, may be necessary for realization of such a state of social, economic and ecological balance, it is highly unlikely to be sufficient. Before briefly touching on some of the systemically broader reasons for the likely insufficiencies, it is worth reiterating here that, as with implications one and two, this third important implication arising from the concept/corollary breakthrough - productiveness and independent productiveness of capital - also remains subject to the same conspicuous silence thanks to the same exclusionary reinforcements brought to us by political parties.   And although these conceptual breakthroughs and the exciting institutional innovations conceived to instantiate them in the real living economy are perfectly amenable to being understood strictly in the terms of their inherent logic, ideally, recognition and realization of their full systemic advantages would require 1.) a governance process procedurally conceived to expertly evaluate issues not within the testimonial boundaries of a uni-disciplinary silo, but in terms of cross-disciplinary systemic and dynamic systems criteria, and 2.) a legislative process not bound by the blinders and exclusionary reinforcements of the conceptual, legal and institutional status quo embodied in the anachronistic and often static policy tenets of political parties; including even tenets as deeply flawed in their presumptions as previously suggested regarding “free markets”.    

 

Recently, the important Swedish organization responsible for formally conceiving, defining, and seeking to globally promulgate much broader social and political awareness of the Planetary Boundaries construct – The Stockholm Resilience Center - released a valuable list of Seven Principles for Building Resilience; a concept distinct from, but closely related to those of dynamic systems and complexity:

 

  http://stockholmresilience.org/research/research-news/2015-02-19-applying-resilience-thinking.html

 

Because the debilitating tendency of political parties toward exclusionary reinforcement is an influence potentially so detrimental to properly leveraging the powerfully constructive, but politically agnostic insights and policy prescriptions which can emerge from judicious invocation of a dynamic-systems and complexity theoretic approach to problems (or opportunities), it is also worth emphasizing that the intent of this blog is not to suggest that if only the Administrative and Congressional/legislative branches were not currently so dysfunctional, if only procedures returned to “regular order”, that all would be well; in fact, far from it. From what has been learned about the value and benefits of approaching problem/opportunity evaluation through the lens of dynamic-systems and complexity, it can be quite frustrating, and not infrequently disturbing, to be a regular C-Span viewer; to witness the extent to which issues continue to be considered and, presumably, legislation continues to be drafted – if at all - primarily based on a silo conception and evaluation of the given problem. Even if/when hearings conducted during the legislative evaluation process include experts encompassing a range of perspectives, the expertise and perspectives are almost invariably constrained to the given issue in isolation, as a silo. But it is also interesting to note a phrase which has increasingly begun to slip into the lexicon of such hearings when panel members include government departmental personnel familiar with the growing challenge posed by complexity, and the virtual imperative which it often imposes to seek resolutions which are integrative across boundaries: the phrase is, “whole-of-government approach”. Though a nominal step in the right direction, just this is not quite sufficient; what is needed is the deeper realization that truly becoming integrative has to be more than merely the tactical improvement of policy execution across departmental boundaries by means such as information/data sharing, etc.; a realization that what is needed is moving into cross-disciplinary, dynamic-systems approaches to defining what the boundaries of the problem really are – and they will almost never be silo bound or relevant to the jurisdiction of any single department - and then based on those boundaries, forming a truly integrative strategy. In other words, for defining what ends constitute the most effectively integrative policy objective to be executed through whole-of-government means .                                                

 

For this reason, ultimately, the intent of this blog series is to begin the on-going process of exploring the important implications of dynamic-systems and complexity for governance even under the assumption of an ideally well-functioning Congress. So significant are these implications, there may be strong basis to suggest that the very procedures comprising Congressional – Senate and Congress – “regular order” should be re-evaluated. The mere fact that this might entail non-trivial Constitutional implications should provide some sense for just how substantive such a re-evaluation might become. Just one example of this was hinted at by the brief ‘Prelude’ scenario involving Tennessee Senator, Bob Corker, that we began Part 1 of this two-part (so far) blog with. What if the legislative conditionalities that he was provisionally willing to consider in the interest of offering an olive leaf of compromise to facilitate forward movement in that particular legislative effort, but which he was apparently politically compelled to surrender, were not optional but were requirements ?      

 

But even in the absence of action at this level, something which may be every bit as interesting, is how opportunities for citizen action in response to legislative inaction, or legislative action flawed in the manner just suggested, might be very significantly enhanced. Given the perhaps unprecedented level of serious and highly strategic citizen activism and organization currently underway, this deserves to be taken very seriously; a seriousness that is very much at the core of the informational and public-affairs mission of this venue, and which will provide much opportunity for future content production; whether as blogs, podcasts or multi-media reports.

 

For example, what if there were citizen groups – and given the political agnosticism of dynamic-systems and complexity analysis, it is easy to imagine groups comprised of individuals from across the spectrum of both major parties, as well as Independents, Libertarians, Greens, etc., who would welcome being participants – devoted to a.) pressing Party Platform committees to adopt explicit provisions to go beyond siloed approaches to issue assessment and legislative drafting, and then b.) actively holding elected representatives to account based on the extent to which they actually abide by this in their work; and by ‘active’ the intent is to suggest continuous, on-going monitoring and reporting, as opposed to only during election seasons?  Done well, this may have the potential to powerfully impact, and enhance the quality of governance; even if this democratic improvement of governance comes at the expense of politics, instead of, as currently obtains, the other way around.

 

Because they are so rich with general governance implication extending even far beyond the specific context of eco-system-services in which they were initially issued, there may be basis for this blog to also frequently return to the SCR Seven Principles of Building Resilience cited above to explore those more fully in a range of contexts, but at this juncture it may be constructive for bringing the present installment of this blog to a close to focus attention on the two final sections.

 

Principle 7 – Promote Polycentric Governance – certainly has direct, and strongly reinforcing relevance to the previous suggestions and, indeed, the rationale for this blog and this entire venue.   The synopsis of that Principle also introduces a strong cautionary note that a complexity and dynamic system approach is no panacea, and comes with plenty of very demanding challenges. Reasons for this might include the trade-offs that will inevitably arise due to the highly non-trivial challenges associated with considerations such as drawing boundaries, weighting of casual influences, etc. Those reasons are also then reinforced in the guidance to “keep the caveats in mind” provided in the Conclusion comments. But embracing those challenges on behalf of creating a process of governance more authentically sering the interest of accommodating the greatest public welfare is a burden which pales in comparison with the social-development and economic opportunity-costs which we are now incurring by ceding the field to the continued dominance of political party exclusionary reinforcements.          

 

(For those having a taste for something a little more academically formal to expand on the caveats just mentioned, the following recent paper is important:

  https://www.researchgate.net/publication/275580211_Operationalizing_the_social-ecological_systems_framework_to_assess_sustainability  

 

I will briefly highlight the final sentence of the Abstract:

 

“Regions that exhibit greater potential for social-ecological sustainability in one

dimension do not necessarily exhibit it in others, highlighting the importance of integrative, coupled system analyses when implementing spatial planning and other ecosystem-based strategies.”

 

The cited importance deserves taking a moment to expand on a concept fundamental to dynamic systems analysis: feedback; which can be either damping or amplifying. Whereas amplifying feedback in, say, an audio circuit always leads to the same symptom of runaway sound escalation, what makes feedback in the highly complex ‘circuits’ of social/economic/political systems so challenging is not only their strong tendency to couple to potentially widely variable arrays of sub-systems with different individual and/or collective thresholds for triggering some non-linear, runaway response, but the problematic process symptomatic of runaway feedback would not necessarily be decisively anticipated or recognized because this new, diverse coupling profile would not abide within the operational semantic frame of the set of variables used to profile the system prior to this new coupling regime. In short, by virtue of the dynamics, there can emerge a mismatch between the analytic/quantitative variables previously deemed relevant for prediction, and the qualitative observables and semantic frame appropriate and relevant to define variables associated with this unique, dynamically emergent coupling profile. This is closely related to the reason listening to political debate can be so infuriatingly frustrating; all too often they’re ‘talking past each other’ in the sense of coming from different conceptual and semantic frames. And it is precisely because of this that “the importance of integrative, coupled system analyses” is so high for the possibility of optimizing governance; it helps to clarify alternate and causally more comprehensive semantic frames and to suggest what quantitative variables might be appropriate to use in the context of these alternates. That is, indeed, important. To be continued.)


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